White Sox Starting Rotation: Assessing the State of the Staff as 2026 Approaches

The Chicago White Sox have faced a challenging few seasons, finishing with over 100 losses for the third straight year. However, despite the setbacks, there has been plenty of improvement across the roster that has fans hopeful for a brighter future. As we look ahead to the 2026 season, the White Sox will need a strong starting rotation to complement their revamped team, and this article will break down where the rotation stands as we head into the new year.

Having already analyzed the infield, outfield, and bullpen, it’s time to take a closer look at the starting rotation. With numerous moving parts, some big questions remain, and the competition for rotation spots will be one of the more intriguing storylines heading into the season.

Locks: Key Names Set for the Rotation

As of now, the White Sox’s rotation remains in flux, with many spots up for grabs. However, a few pitchers have emerged as likely candidates for the starting five.

1. Shane Smith: The White Sox’s Rule-5 draft pick from last season, and their lone All-Star representative, will likely get the nod as the Opening Day starter. Smith showed flashes of brilliance in 2025, and the team will count on him to take on an ace-like role for the 2026 season. His ability to step into this role will be crucial for the team’s success, as the White Sox still lack a proven ace.

2. Davis Martin: After a successful return from Tommy John surgery, Davis Martin looks set to be the team’s second starter. Martin’s first full season back was solid, and his experience in the rotation will be valuable. If he continues his progress, he could cement himself as a reliable option behind Smith.

3. Anthony Kay: The White Sox’s first free-agent signing this offseason, Anthony Kay, is also likely to join the rotation. Kay had a highly successful year in Japan, making key adjustments that improved his overall effectiveness. With his strong international experience, he’ll likely be given a chance to prove himself as a rotation mainstay.

These three pitchers are likely to fill the top spots in the rotation, but beyond that, there are several question marks.

Fringe Guys: Potential Contributors and Competition for the Final Spots

While the first three spots seem relatively secure, the competition for the remaining spots will be intense, and the White Sox will have a number of candidates to consider.

1. Sean Burke: After an up-and-down season that saw him demoted to AAA, Sean Burke will likely get another chance at the rotation. Burke has a top-of-the-rotation arsenal, but his inability to control walks in 2025 hurt him significantly. If he can improve his command, he could earn the 4th spot in the rotation.

2. Jonathan Cannon: After a rough 2025 campaign, Jonathan Cannon’s chances of breaking into the rotation seem uncertain. While he has the potential, his struggles last season mean he’ll likely be fighting for the 5th starter spot, and it’s unclear whether he can overcome other options in the mix.

3. Sean Newcomb: The newest free-agent signing, Sean Newcomb, will also be given a chance to crack the rotation. However, Newcomb was significantly more effective as a reliever last season, so the White Sox may ultimately decide to use him out of the bullpen rather than as a starter.

4. Drew Thorpe: Thorpe is recovering from Tommy John surgery, but he could be a future rotation piece for the White Sox. The timeline for his return remains unclear, but if he can regain his form, he could be a contributor in the rotation down the road.

5. Ky Bush and Mason Adams: Both Bush and Adams have had promising minor league careers, but they are also returning from significant injuries. Expect them to start the season either on the IL or in the minors, where they can continue their rehabilitation before being considered for a rotation spot later in the year.

6. Tanner McDougal: McDougal, who had a strong minor league season, could get a shot at the rotation after being added to the 40-man roster to avoid being selected in the Rule-5 draft. His upper-90s fastball gives him intriguing upside, and he could surprise as a rotation option if given the opportunity.

7. Duncan Davitt: Acquired at the trade deadline in the Adrian Houser trade, Duncan Davitt is another intriguing name. As a Chris Getz acquisition, he may have a slight edge in terms of getting a shot at a rotation spot. Like McDougal, Davitt has the chance to impress and earn his place in the starting five.

Top Prospects: The Future of the Rotation

The White Sox also have a pair of top pitching prospects who could make an impact in the near future.

1. Noah Schultz: Schultz is one of the White Sox’s top prospects, and while it may be a stretch to see him break camp with the team, there’s a high likelihood that we’ll see him make his MLB debut sometime in 2026. Whether he starts in the bullpen or the rotation, Schultz’s development will be one of the most exciting storylines to follow this season.

2. Hagen Smith: Like Schultz, Smith is another top pitching prospect with the potential to break into the MLB rotation. While it may take time for both Schultz and Smith to earn consistent roles, their future in the rotation looks bright, and 2026 could be the year we see both of them take a step forward.

The State of the White Sox Rotation: A Competitive Battle

The White Sox have no shortage of options for their starting rotation heading into 2026. While the first three spots seem likely to go to Shane Smith, Davis Martin, and Anthony Kay, the competition for the final two spots will be fierce. Sean Burke, Jonathan Cannon, and Sean Newcomb will all fight for a spot in the rotation, but there’s also the possibility of seeing young prospects like Drew Thorpe, Ky Bush, and Tanner McDougal make an impact later in the season.

The White Sox may not have a true ace at this point, but Shane Smith has the potential to step up and fill that role. With a deep pool of talent, the rotation should be able to keep the team in most games, making the 2026 season an exciting one to watch. If the White Sox can find the right mix of experience and youth, they could be poised for a much-improved season on the mound.

In summary, the White Sox starting rotation for 2026 remains fluid, with a mix of established pitchers and young talent. While the team lacks a true ace, Shane Smith could step into that role, and the competition for the final spots in the rotation will be one of the season’s most exciting storylines. Overall, the White Sox have the potential to make significant strides with their pitching staff in 2026.