Red Sox playoff magic number drops to three with win over Blue Jays, late-night Astros loss

CBS News Live

Red Sox playoff magic number drops to three with win over Blue Jays, late-night Astros loss

CBS News Boston Live
The Boston Red Sox got a few steps closer to clinching a spot in the MLB playoffs Tuesday night, thanks to a win over the Toronto Blue Jays and a loss by the Houston Astros.

Boston remains in the second Wild Card spot in the American League following the team’s 4-1 win over the AL East-leading Blue Jays in Toronto. But the Red Sox got an extra boost with the Astros losing to the Athletics in Sacramento, 5-1, which dropped Houston two games behind Boston.

With those two results, the chances of the Red Sox missing the playoffs dropped drastically Tuesday night. Boston now owns a 96 percent chance at seeing the postseason, according to FanGraphs.

Boston is one game up on the Detroit Tigers, who now occupy the third and final AL Wild Card spot after losing to the red shot Cleveland Guardians on Tuesday night. Cleveland now leads the AL Central, while the Tigers are in danger of falling out of the playoff picture completely.

With Tuesday night’s results, Boston’s magic number to clinch a playoff spot is down to three.

Red Sox magic number

Any combination of three Red Sox wins and Astros losses the rest of the way would clinch a playoff berth for Boston. The Red Sox could clinch as early as Thursday night if Boston wins its next two games and Houston loses Wednesday night.

The Red Sox will have ace Garrett Crochet on the mound Wednesday night in Toronto. As it stands, he would be in lined up to start a potential Game 1 of a Wild Card series for Boston.

All the Red Sox have to do is go 3-2 over their final five games — two more in Toronto, three games against the Tigers at Fenway Park — to clinch a playoff spot.

American League Playoff picture

The playoff picture is becoming a little more clear in the American League, with spots secured by the Blue Jays, Seattle Mariners, and New York Yankees. There are three more spots to clinch, with the Red Sox, Guardians, Tigers, and Astros duking it out over the final days of the regular season.

The Blue Jays own a one-game lead over the Yankees in the AL East, the Guardians are on top of the Tigers in the Central by way of a tiebreaker (with two more head-to-head matchups), and the Mariners have a comfortable four-game lead in the West.

The Yankees have a three-game lead over Boston for the top AL Wild Card spot, but could overtake Toronto for the division. If the Red Sox remain in the No. 2 Wild Card spot, they’d play the top Wild Card team in a best-of-three series on the road.

If the Red Sox keep winning in Toronto, they might have the luxury of simply playing for seeding this weekend when Detroit comes to town to close out the regular season. The Tigers, now losers of seven straight, might have a lot more riding on the three-game set at Fenway Park as they now look to hang onto the final playoff spot in the American League.

There is still a lot to sort out with just five games remaining in the regular season. But the Red Sox are inching closer to their first postseason berth since 2021.

  • Major League Baseball
  • Boston Red Sox

Matt Geagan

Matthew Geagan is a sports producer for CBS Boston. He has been part of the WBZ sports team for nearly 20 years. He moved over to the web in 2012 and has covered all the highs (and a few lows) in Boston sports.

Related Posts

🚨 MLB INSIDE RESET: The White Sox’s newly assembled coaching staff is raising quiet but serious questions across the league, as subtle hires, shifted responsibilities, and a clear change in philosophy hint at a deeper organizational reset. What looks like routine restructuring on the surface may actually signal a long term plan that hasn’t been fully explained yet — and insiders believe the real impact will only become clear once the season pressure hits.

The Chicago White Sox have finalized their coaching staff for the 2026 season following sweeping changes made at the end of September.

🚨 MLB INSIDE TRADE RUMBLINGS: The Braves are suddenly being linked to a bold trade for a $6 million NL rival left hander, a move insiders say could quietly solve multiple problems at once and even position him as a long term heir to Chris Sale. What looks like a low risk deal on paper may actually hide a far bigger plan, with Atlanta reportedly intrigued by a dynamic arsenal that hasn’t fully been unlocked yet — and the timing of this rumor is raising serious eyebrows across the league.

The Braves could go after a young star.

🚨 MLB INSIDE STORM BREWING: As hopes of an Alex Bregman return quietly fade, a new projection suggests the Red Sox may be preparing a jaw dropping $186 million swing for Bo Bichette, a move insiders believe could redefine Boston’s future in one bold stroke. What once seemed unrealistic is now gaining traction behind the scenes, and if this prediction turns real, the ripple effect could shock the AL East and completely change how this offseason is remembered.

A former MLB executive now believes that the Boston Red Sox will land coveted free agent infielder Bo Bichette from Toronto.

🚨 MLB INSIDE WHISPERS: Something big is quietly brewing behind closed doors in New York, as new projections hint the Yankees may be lining up an elite shortstop signing that goes far beyond a normal free-agency move. What started as a low-key prediction is now being viewed as a potential power shift, with insiders suggesting this decision could redefine the Yankees’ identity and force the entire American League to adjust sooner than expected.

The New York Yankees haven’t done much during the offseason, but MLB rumors continue to swirl. New York has been […]

Cubs Predicted To Land Marquee Free Agent Starting Pitcher On Six-Year Contract

The Cubs are in the market for a top-of-the-rotation starting pitcher, and David Schoenfield of ESPN predicted them to land Framber Valdez, previously of the Houston Astros.

🚨 INSIDE NFL REVELATION: The Packers reportedly had a stunning opportunity to sign an all time great for just $5 million, yet chose to walk away without even making a free agent offer — a quiet decision that is now raising serious questions inside the fanbase and league circles alike. What seemed insignificant at the time is suddenly being revisited as a potential turning point, with insiders suggesting this missed move could have changed far more than anyone realized.

Green Bay missed an opportunity.