The Houston Astros are in the thick of a playoff chase, and the AL West is turning into a three-team slugfest. With the Mariners now a half-game up on Houston as of Sept. 17, the division lead has officially changed hands for the first time since June.
The Astros, though, have created some breathing room between themselves and the Texas Rangers, who’ve dropped the first two games of a critical three-game series. That four-game edge over Texas could prove vital, but if Houston wants to punch its postseason ticket-and maybe even win the division-they’ll need every arm, every bat, and every glove performing at full throttle.
One of the biggest reasons the Astros are still firmly in this race? Hunter Brown.
Brown has emerged as not just a reliable starter, but a legitimate ace in the making. His 2025 campaign has been nothing short of a breakout, and he’s doing it at the perfect time. With the pressure mounting and every game feeling like October, Brown has been dealing-pitching like a guy who’s not just trying to help his team win, but make a serious run at some hardware of his own.
According to former MLB executive Jim Bowden, Brown is firmly in the mix for the AL Cy Young Award. In fact, Bowden projects Brown to finish third in the voting, just behind Tarik Skubal of the Tigers and Garrett Crochet of the Red Sox. That’s elite company, and Brown has the numbers to back it up.
Let’s break it down. Brown owns a 2.27 ERA over 29 starts and 174.1 innings-both career highs.
He’s struck out 192 batters, another personal best. That ERA?
It’s just a tick behind Skubal’s league-leading 2.26. Meanwhile, Crochet edges him in strikeout-to-walk ratio, but Brown’s consistency and workload have him right in the thick of the conversation.
Skubal, by the way, is looking to go back-to-back after winning the Cy Young unanimously last year, when he also captured the pitching triple crown. He’s been sensational again, and his grip on the top spot in the voting seems strong. But behind him, it’s a real debate-and Brown has made a compelling case to be the runner-up.
What makes Brown’s 2025 even more impressive is how he bounced back from a rocky start in 2024. Early last season, he struggled to find his footing, but something shifted in May.
From that point forward, he was one of the best pitchers in the game. In fact, from May onward, only Paul Skenes of the Pirates and Chris Sale of the Braves had better ERAs.
Those two ended up taking home the NL Rookie of the Year and NL Cy Young, respectively. That’s the kind of company Brown kept down the stretch-and he’s kept it going into this season.
Now, with the playoff race heating up, Brown is set to make at least two more starts. Every inning he throws will matter-for the Astros’ postseason hopes and for his Cy Young résumé. He’s not just pitching for October; he’s pitching for history.
So as the AL West race barrels toward the finish line, keep an eye on No. 58 in Houston. Hunter Brown isn’t just trying to get the Astros into the playoffs-he’s making a serious case to be remembered as one of the best arms in baseball this season.