From a National Perspective, Have the Twins Been This Era’s Most Disappointing Team?

From a National Perspective, Have the Twins Been This Era’s Most Disappointing Team?

Minnesota’s 2025 collapse may be the final chapter in an era of missed opportunities.

Image courtesy of Mitch Stringer-Imagn Images
The Minnesota Twins have unexpectedly found themselves at the center of baseball’s national conversation over the last two weeks because of a surprise fire sale at the MLB trade deadline. In a year where the AL Central remained within reach and the Twins still had a roster full of desirable talent, the front office chose to pull the plug.

That decision shocked fans across the country and has brought renewed attention to Minnesota’s long-running struggle to meet expectations. Whether the spotlight brings clarity or criticism, it has forced the national media to re-evaluate the Twins’ place in the modern baseball landscape.

On a recent episode of The Roundtable, a national podcast hosted by writers from The Athletic, the crew posed a question that stings but might hit too close to home for Minnesota fans: Are the Twins baseball’s most disappointing team of the current era?

It’s not an outlandish take. In fact, it might be the most accurate way to describe what’s happened to the Twins over the past half-decade. Minnesota’s decision to sell at the 2025 trade deadline sent shockwaves through the sport. Still, that moment wasn’t the beginning of the problem because it was the culmination of years of underperformance, bad luck, and organizational inertia.

Byron Buxton’s career-high in fWAR was 4.6 in 2017. Will he surpass that in 2025?

Always the Projection, Rarely the Result
The Twins have consistently looked good on paper. They’ve regularly been picked by projection systems like FanGraphs to finish above .500 and contend in a weak AL Central. But results on the field haven’t matched the spreadsheets.

Here’s a look at how the Twins have stacked up to their preseason projections:

Season FanGraphs Projection Final Record +/-
2025 84-78 (1st in ALC) TBD TBD
2024 85-77 (1st in ALC) 82-80 (4th) -3
2023 83-79 (1st in ALC) 87-75 (1st) +4
2022 82-80 (2nd in ALC) 78-84 (3rd) -4
2021 88-74 (1st in ALC) 73-89 (5th) -15

Only once (2023) did the Twins exceed expectations. That was also the only year in the last five that they managed to win a playoff game, finally breaking the infamous two-decade postseason losing streak. Minnesota has been projected to win the AL Central in four of the last five seasons and will miss the playoffs in all but one of those years.

But the overall pattern has been frustratingly clear: The Twins are either underwhelming or just plain stuck in the mud. And in a division where no team spends big and few teams try to win consistently, that’s particularly damning.

Stars Who Shine in Theory

The Roundtable hosts pointed out that this isn’t a talentless roster. The Twins have Byron Buxton, one of the most electrifying players in baseball when healthy. They’ve developed Joe Ryan, Bailey Ober, and more through smart scouting and pitching development. And, before this year’s deadline, they had 10 players that contending teams were actively targeting—proof that the talent was there.

They also had Carlos Correa, until they didn’t. That deal was supposed to be a franchise-changer, but his bat disappeared, his legs aged quickly, and the promise of Correa as the anchor of a playoff core never materialized. Whether that’s bad luck, poor evaluation, or something more systemic, it was another swing-and-miss in a long line of them.

What’s Actually Wrong?
The hardest part in all of this is the diagnosis. What is wrong with the Twins? They spend as much or more than the rest of the AL Central. They develop pitching. They had one of baseball’s best bullpens. But the results haven’t followed.

Some of it is health, with players like Buxton, Royce Lewis, and others have been consistently unavailable. Some of it is underperformance with the Twins hoping that players like Correa, Lewis, and Matt Wallner could carry the lineup. But a lot of it comes down to momentum. And the Twins never seem to build any.

A Turning Point… or Just the End?
Trading away so many Major League pieces at this year’s deadline wasn’t just a signal of where the 2025 season was headed. It felt like the front office was finally waving the white flag on this version of the Minnesota Twins.

This era may be remembered for one playoff win, a few fun summers, and a whole lot of what-ifs. What if Buxton stayed healthy? What if Correa found his bat? What if they’d cashed in on the Central while other teams were rebuilding?

Instead, from a national perspective, the Twins now serve as a cautionary tale. They were a team that had the talent, the financial edge, and the division within reach, but rarely took the step forward.

For Twins fans, that’s not just disappointing. It’s exhausting.

What other teams have been disappointing during the current era? Leave a comment and start the discussion.

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