Report: Free agent predictions begin with whopper deals projected for Burnes and Santander

Five days after the end of the World Series, which began last night, teams can sign free agents. It could be an active winter for the Orioles, who have two key free agents of their own hitting the market.

They are right-handed pitcher Corbin Burnes and right fielder Anthony Santander. Both are almost certain to get qualifying offers from the Orioles, which would net the team a draft pick if they leave and sign elsewhere.

The consensus opinions seem to be that Burnes is almost certain to leave while the O’s may have at least an outside shot at retaining Santander.

But if that were to come at the price from one prediction this week, I can’t see that happening.

Former big league general manager Jim Bowden predicted who top 45 free agents will be, where they end up and at what price in The Athletic this week (subscription may be required).

Bowden ranks, to no one’s surprise, Juan Soto as the top free agent and projects he will get a deal for 15 years worth $622 million for an average annual value of $41.5 million.

Yeah, wowser if he gets that much. The Yankees, Mets and Blue Jays are listed as the best fits for Soto.

Burnes, per the story, is the top free agent pitcher available and No. 2 on this list of 45 players. Burnes is projected to get seven years and $247 million for an AAV of $35.3 million.

Over 32 O’s starts, Burnes went 15-9 with a 2.92 ERA over 194 1/3 innings. He recorded 22 quality starts and had a 1.096 WHIP while averaging 2.2 walks per nine innings and 8.4 strikeouts per nine.

Burnes struggled in August, but in September he recorded a 1.20 ERA and .512 OPS against. Over his last three regular season starts, he gave up seven hits and one run in 19 innings. He pitched eight scoreless innings in the playoffs.

Burnes this year became the second qualified O’s pitcher with a sub-3.00 ERA since Mike Mussina posted a 2.54 ERA in 1992, joining Kyle Bradish (at 2.83) in 2023.

The Mets, Dodgers, Red Sox and Orioles are listed as best team fits for Burnes.

Bowden ranks Santander as the No. 10 free agent and the fourth-highest-rated among position players after Soto, Pete Alonso and Alex Bregman. He projects for Santander a seven-year deal worth $150.5 million for an AAV of $21.5 million.

I don’t see Santander getting seven years or that large a deal, but I surely could see a shorter deal with a better AAV.

Santander, who just turned 30, hit .235/.308/.506/.814 this season with 25 doubles, two triples, 44 homers, 91 runs and 102 RBIs.

He became the eighth Oriole to hit 40 or more home runs in a season, and the first since Mark Trumbo in 2016. He became the first Oriole with 100 or more RBIs since Jonathan Schoop drove in 105 in 2017.

Santander finished second in the American League and third in the majors in homers. He ranked ninth in the AL in RBIs, 11th in slugging and 13th in OPS.

Santander might get criticism from some for his low OBP and defensive metrics, but here is something all teams want when handing over the big bucks: durability.

He has played 152, 153 and 155 games the last three seasons. He stays on the field.

Bowden lists the Orioles, Nationals, Reds, Blue Jays, and Mariners are listed as fits.

Soto odds: By the way, those at BetOnline.ag suggest there is about an 82 percent chance that Soto re-signs as a Yankee. But if he does not, they list these odds for his next team. Note that the Orioles are on this list.

Phillies at 5-1
Mets at 6-1
Cubs at 7-1
Blue Jays at 8-1
Red Sox at 9-1
Giant and Mariners at 10-1
Orioles and Dodgers at 12-1
Braves at 14-1
Royals at 18-1

The Angels and White Sox have the longest odds at 75-1.

An epic Game 1: Freddie Freeman hit the first walk-off grand slam in World Series history in the last of the 10th Friday night as the Los Angeles Dodgers beat the New York Yankees 6-3 to open the World Series. A fantastic start to what could be a great series.

Dave McNally, O’s pitcher, once hit a World Series slam and now Freeman has one.

“Gibby meet Freddie,” said Fox broadcaster Joe Davis in a fantastic play-by-play call. It was a reference to the Dodgers’ Kirk Gibson for his WS walk-off homer in 1988. Freeman and Gibson have now hit the only two, two-out, walk-off homers while trailing in WS history.

Related Posts

TENSION EXPLODES IN THE GIANTS DUGOUT: Matt Chapman Unleashes Brutal Choice Words at Casey Schmitt Right After Costly Error vs. Padres – This Fiery Confrontation Has Fans Buzzing and Questioning Team Chemistry!

ѕаn Frаncіѕco Gіаntѕ thіrd bаѕemаn Mаtt Chарmаn. | Dаrren Yаmаѕhіtа-іmаgn іmаgeѕ The ѕаn Frаncіѕco Gіаntѕ hаve ѕtаrted Rаfаel Deverѕ аt deѕіgnаted hіtter іn eаch of theіr fіrѕt…

🚨BREAKING: A SHOCKING REVELATION — MLB superstar Alex Bregman has revealed the real reason behind his departure from the Boston Red Sox after more than three months. It wasn’t a typical trade—Bregman claims it was a SCAM, with the Chicago Cubs allegedly deceiving both him and the Blue Jays, forcing the 32-year-old to join the Cubs. As the truth unfolds, Red Sox fans are furious and demanding answers. This twist has rocked the MLB world. 👀🔥👇👇

In the high-stakes world of Major League Baseball, where loyalty often clashes with big-money contracts and front-office maneuvering, few stories have captured the imagination quite like the…

CONTROVERSIAL CALL THAT SAVED THE CUBS: Umpire’s Shocking Decision Ignites Massive Debate as Chicago Steals Series Win Over the Angels – Fans Are FURIOUS and Calling It Robbery!

The Chіcаgo Cubѕ hаven’t exаctly been lіghtіng the world on fіre аgаіnѕt two underwhelmіng oррonentѕ to begіn the 2026 ѕeаѕon, but а cloѕe cаll on Wedneѕdаy ѕраrked…

🚨BREAKING: A QUIET ICON RETURNS — Jerry Hairston Jr. is officially joining Dodgers Nation, bringing his wealth of experience and influence back to Los Angeles. The beloved former player is set to make an impact once again, reconnecting with fans and creating new memories as part of the team. This is more than a reunion; it’s the beginning of a new chapter for the Dodgers. 👀🔥👇👇

The Los Angeles Dodgers have just welcomed a significant return as former versatile player Jerry Hairston Jr. officially joins the Dodgers Nation for the 2026 season. Not…

BRANDON NIMMO IS ABSOLUTELY TORCHING THE RANGERS LINEUP: His Leadoff Impact Is Getting INSANE Praise – This Move Just Turned Texas Into an Offensive Monster!

Texаѕ Rаngerѕ left fіelder Brаndon Nіmmo іnѕіde the dugout. | erіc Hаrtlіne-іmаgn іmаgeѕ Brаndon Nіmmo hаѕ mаde аn іmmedіаte іmраct іn hіѕ fіrѕt week wіth the Texаѕ…

Red Sox’s Garrett Crochet HUMILIATED After Astros Brutal Sweep: “It’s NOT Acceptable” – Ace Pitcher’s Raw Rage Exposes the Total Collapse in Boston!

The Boѕton Red ѕox entered the 2026 MLB ѕeаѕon wіth hіgh hoрeѕ. They аdded tаlent uр аnd down the roѕter. Through ѕіx gаmeѕ, thіngѕ hаve not gone…