We know to never say never, but it’s a pretty safe bet that the 3-5-1 Dallas Cowboys aren’t winning anything in 2025. Following Monday night’s conclusion of Week 10, the club is a full four games behind the Philadelphia Eagles in the win column for the NFC East title. For the first time in over 20 years, there will be a repeat champion in the division.

To make matters worse, the Cowboys — who are 1-4 on the road thus far — are a long ways away from even the current seventh seed, the Green Bay Packers who lost to Eagles on MNF. The Packers are 5-3-1, with the two teams tying during their Week 4 matchup. Dallas sits 11th in the NFC currently, and have just a 5% chance of making the playoffs.

Advertisement

The worst part is, that chance is simply about odds, it doesn’t even take into account the club’s remaining slate of games and the ridiculously difficult stretch they’re about to endure.

But here’s the thing. The schedule is so daunting, that if somehow the sage is waved around in the perfect sequence, all the rabbit’s lose a foot paving the way to The Star in Frisco and the club somehow turns the season around; they would probably have to be considered favorites to pull off an infamous run through the playoffs.

Any club that can turn this mess into success with what their remaining schedule looks like would then be capable of doing anything.

When the schedules were announced back in May, it immediately caught Cowboys Wire’s attention how loaded the second half of the season was. From Week’s 12 through 15, they’ll be the first team in NFL history to face four straight 14-plus game winners from the prior season.

Advertisement

Dallas has to take on last year’s Super Bowl contestants on four days rest, with the Eagles quickly followed by the Kansas City Chiefs, as well as the 6-3 Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings.

Again, the Cowboys have only been able to beat the lowly New York Jets on the road this year, earning a 1-4 record through the first half of the season. There are four travel dates remaining. Their home schedule includes the Eagles (7-2), Chiefs (5-4), Vikings (4-5), and Chargers (7-3). They’ll likely be a pick’em against Minnesota and home underdogs in the other four contests.

If the Cowboys can escape from this gauntlet of games with eight total wins, which they won’t, then they’d be looking at closing out against two road games against division rivals who would love to play spoiler in the Washington Commanders and New York Giants.

The way the NFC is shaping up, the wild card is going to require 10 wins, and if the Cowboys were to get there, there would be no reason not to think they were one of the top teams in the league. The teams they’ll have to beat, the heater they’d have to fire up would mean the offense fixed itself and the defense became more than just competitive.

Advertisement

The more likely scenario, of course, is that Dallas ends the season with 10 or more losses. The changes they’ve made to the roster: trading for Quinnen Williams and Logan Wilson, activating DeMarvion Overshown and Shavon Revel, with potentially Malik Hooker, Trevon Diggs and Perrion Winfrey rejoining over the next few weeks, should help, but the team is more likely looking for reasons to feel positive heading into the offseason rather than to prepare for the postseason.

This article originally appeared on Cowboys Wire: Cowboys playoff odds almost evaporated, miracle would have to happen