{"id":52919,"date":"2025-05-04T12:04:35","date_gmt":"2025-05-04T12:04:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=52919"},"modified":"2025-05-04T12:04:35","modified_gmt":"2025-05-04T12:04:35","slug":"warning-braves-have-to-be-regretting-the-jarred-kelenic-trade-on-multiple-levels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=52919","title":{"rendered":"WARNING: Braves have to be regretting the Jarred Kelenic trade on multiple levels"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>When the Braves spent big to acquire Jarred Kelenic, they expected a strong defender and a productive left-handed bat. They got a glove-first fourth outfielder.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images2.minutemediacdn.com\/image\/upload\/c_crop,x_0,y_639,w_3840,h_2160\/c_fill,w_720,ar_16:9,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto\/images\/GettyImages\/mmsport\/17\/01jtb30cbj3vrj0cc3p2.jpg\" alt=\"St. Louis Cardinals v Atlanta Braves\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"article-content\">\n<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" data-uw-rm-sr=\"\">Despite failing to hit consistently at the Major League level in three seasons, the Atlanta Braves created a series of complex deals in order to trade for Jarred Kelenic that eventually cost the team over $20 million and had them end up with a prototypical four-A fourth outfielder.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"scroll-mt-24 my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">The Jarred Kelenic trade was a bad idea from the start for the Braves<\/h2>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">Following the 2021 season,\u00a0Kelenic\u2019s minor league manager predicted\u00a0great things, but that hasn\u2019t happened yet. Kelenic hits the ball hard and has a slightly above-average barrel rate, but he doesn\u2019t make contact all that often. With Seattle, he <em><strong>struck out<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0in\u00a0<em><strong>30.7%<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0of his plate appearances and\u00a0<em><strong>whiffed on offspeed and breaking pitches over 40%<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0of the time.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-3\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">In March\/April of 2023, he batted .308\/.366\/.615\/.982, but cooled off to .250\/.304\/.423\/.727 in May and cratered so badly in June that he threw a tantrum, kicked a water cooler, and broke his foot. His season numbers look good, but after mid-May, he wasn\u2019t.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"inline-text-4\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">The best deals are simple deals, and the Kelenic deal was neither<\/h3>\n<p id=\"inline-text-5\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">If the\u00a0Braves had taken only Marco Gonzales\u2019 underwater contract\u00a0to get the young outfielder, the deal wouldn\u2019t have looked so bad. But Alex Anthopoulos decided to take Evan White\u2019s contract as well, and things got complicated quickly.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" data-uw-rm-sr=\"\">The only player the Braves wanted was Kelenic, so the club had to trade the others to clear roster space. If the club had released Gonzalez and White, it would have cost them an additional $4.7M in CBT payroll, which would have made the deal far worse.<\/p>\n<figure>\n<div class=\"overflow-hidden bg-lightGrey undefined\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/images2.minutemediacdn.com\/image\/upload\/c_crop,x_0,y_830,w_2447,h_2447\/c_fill,w_360,ar_1:1,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto\/images%2FImagnImages%2Fmmsport%2F17%2F01jt9fe4rze4dxj4t3pj.jpg 1x,  \nhttps:\/\/images2.minutemediacdn.com\/image\/upload\/c_crop,x_0,y_830,w_2447,h_2447\/c_fill,w_720,ar_1:1,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto\/images%2FImagnImages%2Fmmsport%2F17%2F01jt9fe4rze4dxj4t3pj.jpg 2x, \n    https:\/\/images2.minutemediacdn.com\/image\/upload\/c_crop,x_0,y_830,w_2447,h_2447\/c_fill,w_1080,ar_1:1,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto\/images%2FImagnImages%2Fmmsport%2F17%2F01jt9fe4rze4dxj4t3pj.jpg 3x\" media=\"(max-width: 719px)\" \/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/images2.minutemediacdn.com\/image\/upload\/c_crop,x_0,y_830,w_2447,h_2447\/c_fill,w_720,ar_1:1,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto\/images%2FImagnImages%2Fmmsport%2F17%2F01jt9fe4rze4dxj4t3pj.jpg 1x, \nhttps:\/\/images2.minutemediacdn.com\/image\/upload\/c_crop,x_0,y_830,w_2447,h_2447\/c_fill,w_1440,ar_1:1,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto\/images%2FImagnImages%2Fmmsport%2F17%2F01jt9fe4rze4dxj4t3pj.jpg 2x, \n    https:\/\/images2.minutemediacdn.com\/image\/upload\/c_crop,x_0,y_830,w_2447,h_2447\/c_fill,w_1440,ar_1:1,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto\/images%2FImagnImages%2Fmmsport%2F17%2F01jt9fe4rze4dxj4t3pj.jpg 3x\" media=\"(max-width: 1079px)\" \/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/images2.minutemediacdn.com\/image\/upload\/c_crop,x_0,y_830,w_2447,h_2447\/c_fill,w_720,ar_1:1,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto\/images%2FImagnImages%2Fmmsport%2F17%2F01jt9fe4rze4dxj4t3pj.jpg 1x, \nhttps:\/\/images2.minutemediacdn.com\/image\/upload\/c_crop,x_0,y_830,w_2447,h_2447\/c_fill,w_1440,ar_1:1,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto\/images%2FImagnImages%2Fmmsport%2F17%2F01jt9fe4rze4dxj4t3pj.jpg 2x,\n    https:\/\/images2.minutemediacdn.com\/image\/upload\/c_crop,x_0,y_830,w_2447,h_2447\/c_fill,w_1440,ar_1:1,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto\/images%2FImagnImages%2Fmmsport%2F17%2F01jt9fe4rze4dxj4t3pj.jpg 3x\" media=\"(min-width: 1080px)\" \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"undefined w-full w-full\" title=\"Atlanta Braves outfielder Jurickson Profar was supposed to be the answer in left field, now he's suspended for PED use\" src=\"https:\/\/images2.minutemediacdn.com\/image\/upload\/c_crop,x_0,y_830,w_2447,h_2447\/c_fill,w_720,ar_1:1,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto\/images\/ImagnImages\/mmsport\/17\/01jt9fe4rze4dxj4t3pj.jpg\" alt=\"Atlanta Braves outfielder Jurickson Profar was supposed to be the answer in left field, now he's suspended for PED use\" width=\"2447\" height=\"2447\" data-uw-rm-alt-original=\"Atlanta Braves outfielder Jurickson Profar was supposed to be the answer in left field, now he's suspended for PED use\" data-uw-rm-alt=\"ALT\" \/><\/picture><\/div><figcaption class=\"m-3 text-darkGrey font-group-tiny m-3\">Atlanta Braves outfielder Jurickson Profar was supposed to be the answer in left field, now he&#8217;s suspended for PED use | Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3 id=\"inline-text-9\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">The cost of the Kelenic experiment<\/h3>\n<p id=\"inline-text-10\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">Warning: math stuff ahead. (All dollar amounts are in millions of dollars.)<\/p>\n<ul id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"!list-disc ml-5 my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">\n<li data-uw-rm-sr=\"\">December 3: The Braves acquire Kelenic, Marco Gonzales ($12.5), Evan White ($7), and cash ($2.25 for two years).<\/li>\n<li data-uw-rm-sr=\"\">December 5: The Braves send Gonzalez and cash ($9.25) to the Pirates.<\/li>\n<li data-uw-rm-sr=\"\">December 8: The Braves trade White ($7) and Tyler Thomas (MiLB) to the Angels for David Fletcher ($14 over two seasons: $6, $6.5, $1.5 buyout) and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.spotrac.com\/mlb\/player\/_\/id\/14180\/max-stassi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-uw-rm-sr=\"\" data-uw-rm-brl=\"PR\" data-uw-original-href=\"https:\/\/www.spotrac.com\/mlb\/player\/_\/id\/14180\/max-stassi\" aria-label=\"Max Stassi ($7) - open in a new tab\" data-uw-rm-ext-link=\"\">Max Stassi ($7)<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li data-uw-rm-sr=\"\">December 9: The Braves send Stassi and cash ($6.26) to the White Sox.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p id=\"inline-text-12\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" data-uw-rm-sr=\"\">When the dust settled, the Braves were on the hook for most of the Gonzalez ($9.25) and Stassi ($6.26) contracts, and all of Fletcher\u2019s contract in 2025 ($6) and 2026 ($8), a total of $21.51. Cash from Seattle ($2.25) offset part of that, leaving $19.26 in 2024 and $8 in AAV \u2013 including Fletcher\u2019s buyout &#8211; due in 2026.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-13\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" data-uw-rm-sr=\"\">Braves\u2019 beat-writer Mark Bowman consistently reports that the club spent $17M to acquire Kelenic. I\u2019m sure he\u2019s correct, but arriving at that number must involve some hair-splitting.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-14\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" data-uw-rm-sr=\"\">The Braves were CBT payor, for the second time, with a CBT $276.9 payroll, roughly $19.6 above the second CBT threshold of $257 and just below the so-called $277 Cohen tax level. The club paid $14 in CBT, most of that on the money spent to acquire Kelenic, but avoided a draft penalty.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"inline-text-15\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">The Kelenic trade is still impacting the Braves roster<\/h3>\n<p id=\"inline-text-16\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">Kelenic posted an 87 OPS+, 47 wRC+, and -0.5 rWAR (-0.04 fWAR) in 2024: if not for his defense, he\u2019d have been at least -1.5 in either flavor of WAR. If the Braves hadn\u2019t committed so much time, money, and effort into acquiring Kelenic, they\u2019d have demoted him last year. He started this season slowly, posting a .531 OPS, 47 wRC+, and -0.5 rWAR (-0.4 fWAR) before being sent to Gwinnett.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-17\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">His performance and the Braves\u2019 lack of depth meant the club entered the offseason needing help in the bullpen, a starting pitcher, and a left fielder who could hit, but money for only one good one.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-18\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" data-uw-rm-sr=\"\">It was clear that the CBT was on their mind when they waited until the last minute to sign\u00a0Jurickson Profar to get him as inexpensively as possible. His positive PED test saved the club half of his 2025 salary, and the team used part of that savings ($1.5) to sign Alex Verdugo.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-19\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">Profar will return mid-season, but which Profar will the club get? Questions were asked about Profar\u2019s ability to be productive long-term before he failed the test, and the history of older players returning from PED suspensions brings those questions into sharper focus.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"inline-text-20\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">That\u2019s a Wrap<\/h3>\n<p id=\"inline-text-21\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" data-uw-rm-sr=\"\">The Braves paid about $19.6 million for zero production from players on other teams or trying to become a knuckleball pitcher in the minors, and most of the $14 tax on that money in CBT penalties.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-22\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\">Kelenic may find the answer at Gwinnett, but his trajectory so far looks a lot like that of Cameron Maybin. Both were projected as stars of the future, called up early in their career. And struggled. Maybin quickly slipped into a fourth-outfielder role and never became a star. Kelenic may change course, but it would be hard to find anyone willing to bet on that now.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When the Braves spent big to acquire Jarred Kelenic, they expected a strong defender and a productive left-handed bat. They got a glove-first fourth outfielder. Despite failing&#8230; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":52920,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52919","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>WARNING: Braves have to be regretting the Jarred Kelenic trade on multiple levels - NEWS USA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=52919\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"WARNING: Braves have to be regretting the Jarred Kelenic trade on multiple levels - NEWS USA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"When the Braves spent big to acquire Jarred Kelenic, they expected a strong defender and a productive left-handed bat. 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