{"id":50928,"date":"2025-04-25T22:20:07","date_gmt":"2025-04-25T22:20:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=50928"},"modified":"2025-04-25T22:20:07","modified_gmt":"2025-04-25T22:20:07","slug":"mlb-over-under-best-bet-atlanta-braves-vs-arizona-diamondbacks-april-25th-deadspin-com","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=50928","title":{"rendered":"MLB Over\/Under Best Bet: Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, April 25th | Deadspin.com"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"MLBApr 23, 2025; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves outfielder Eli White (36) reacts with third base Austin Riley (27) after hitting a three run home run against the St. Louis Cardinals during the eighth inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images<\/p>\n<\/section>\n
Despite a shaky beginning, yesterday\u2019s Mariners-Red Sox Under bet held on to cash in the end, and as a result, also extended our latest winning streak on totals. Let\u2019s commence the weekend with another such victory.<\/p>\n

Friday\u2019s effort comes from Chase Field in the desert, where the Arizona Diamondbacks are hosting the Atlanta Braves for the first of a three-game series. The opening contest wields a fascinating pitching matchup featuring the reigning National League Cy Young award winner, Chris Sale, going toe-to-toe with a top three finalist for the award from two seasons ago, Zac Gallen.<\/p>\n

The most fascinating component is that both starters haven\u2019t mostly been their normal selves here in the early going of 2025. Sale is 0-2 with an ugly 6.17 ERA and 1.63 WHIP, not to mention he\u2019s allowed four home runs already in his five starts. That\u2019s certainly notable because he yielded only nine homers combined in his 29 starts last year.<\/p>\n

Gallen, meanwhile, is currently saddled with a 5.60 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. He, too, has had issues with the long ball, having seen five leave the yard in five outings. There were only 13 home runs launched off the right-hander across 28 assignments in 2024.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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Both ERA and WHIP marks would represent career worsts for each starting pitcher if those numbers finish around there. But here\u2019s the thing: Sale and Gallen are still really good pitchers and much better than what they\u2019ve put on display thus far.<\/p>\n

Possessing that mindset, this can be viewed as a great buy-low opportunity in regard to each hurler. If both players were throwing the ball at their usual high level, there\u2019s no way this affair would carry an over\/under as high as 8.5<\/p>\n

And there is reason to believe they are each on the upswing. Sale shockingly hasn\u2019t thrown more than five innings in a game yet but you know that\u2019s going to change any start now. Although he\u2019s been running his pitch counts high, the 13-year vet is still punching out batters at an elite level. In fact, if Sale had enough innings to qualify (which he probably will after tonight), his strikeout rate of 12.3 K\/9 would rank him tied for fourth best in the majors \u2013 with friend of the column Max Meyer.<\/p>\n

Another tell-tale sign that Sale is about to rebound is that he\u2019s already dealt with some horrendous luck. It would be impossible for him to sustain that ridiculous .422 (!) batting average on balls put in play against him, so if that number is about to go down significantly, you can anticipate much better results ahead from the hard-throwing southpaw.<\/p>\n

As illustrated by his usual high strikeout totals, Sale is still armed with upper echelon stuff and that should decisively lead him out of the current rut he might be in at the moment. And one thing that can cure his early problems with homers \u2013 at least as far as tonight goes \u2013 is that the Diamondbacks have only swatted four homers versus left-handed pitching in 205 at-bats.<\/p>\n

With Gallen, he hasn\u2019t had the same misfortunes as his counterpart this evening (.284 BABIP) but the former All Star clearly has better days coming sooner than later. Perhaps that stretch began in his most recent assignment.<\/p>\n

Sure, the 29-year-old did get tagged for six runs at Wrigley Field during that last turn, but it was still encouraging that after Gallen bounced back after yielding all that damage in the first two innings to allow nothing else in the ensuing four.<\/p>\n

Being at home can also aid Gallen in his cause. He\u2019s always generally performed better when pitching in front of the Arizona faithful, being 32-18 with a 3.08 ERA and 10 K\/9 in 72 starts at Chase Field, spanning 417 2\/3 innings. He\u2019s been good opposite the Braves in his career, too, as evidenced by the 3.19 ERA he\u2019s etched in five career meetings.<\/p>\n

Call it a sale on gallons of milk, or whatever pun you can think of. The fact remains is that such a meeting between two still-All-Star-caliber starters won\u2019t usually garner a total this high, and it\u2019s one worth attempting to capitalize on.<\/p>\n

Pick: UNDER 8.5 (-112, DraftKings) \u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

2025 MLB Betting Record: 18-15-1, +0.31 unit<\/p>\n

Over\/Unders: 16-10-1<\/p>\n

Props: 2-4<\/p>\n

MLs: 0-1<\/p>\n

Yesterday\u2019s Result: Mariners-Red Sox Under 8 (WIN)<\/p>\n

Each bet graded as if it were to win one unit unless otherwise indicated.<\/i><\/p>\n

Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) @MattZylbert for potential additional picks.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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April 25th’s top sports betting pick is an MLB runline bet for the Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks over\/under on Friday evening.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":50929,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50928","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb"],"yoast_head":"\nMLB Over\/Under Best Bet: Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, April 25th | Deadspin.com - NEWS USA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=50928\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"MLB Over\/Under Best Bet: Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, April 25th | Deadspin.com - 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