{"id":50030,"date":"2025-04-22T07:30:45","date_gmt":"2025-04-22T07:30:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=50030"},"modified":"2025-04-22T07:30:45","modified_gmt":"2025-04-22T07:30:45","slug":"breaking-news-three-potential-paths-to-fix-the-orioles-ghastly-pitching","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=50030","title":{"rendered":"Breaking News: Three Potential Paths to Fix the Orioles\u2019 Ghastly Pitching"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Screen-Shot-2025-04-21-at-2.02.42-PM-1536x928.png\" alt=\"Brian Baker Adley Rutschman\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-239b12d\" data-id=\"239b12d\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8961036 de_scroll_animation_no elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"8961036\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p>The Orioles are a team of extremes. This was no more apparent than in this weekend\u2019s three-game series with the Cincinnati Reds, where one day after being stifled by a crafty lefty (Andrew Abbott), they put a beating on one of the top RHPs in baseball (Hunter Greene). Then, after that latter convincing 9-5 win\u2026well, we\u2019ll get to that in a moment.<\/p>\n<p>It should come as no surprise as the Orioles have had titanic success against RHP this year (pacing baseball with a 131 wRC+) while performing downright ghoulishly against southpaws (29th\u00a0with a 55 wRC+).<\/p>\n<p>That being said, I do see some natural regression towards the mean against lefties. Tyler O\u2019Neill\u2019s NEGATIVE 44 wRC+ against lefties won\u2019t hold.\u00a0Gunnar Henderson,\u00a0Adley Rutschman,\u00a0Ramon Laureano\u00a0and\u00a0Jordan Westburg\u00a0should all be closer to 110 wRC+ players against lefties than the below average performers they\u2019ve been thus far.<\/p>\n<p>This lineup currently sits 8<sup>th<\/sup>\u00a0overall in baseball in wRC+, and it should surprise no one if the Orioles are neck-in-neck with the Dodgers and Yankees all year for best offense in baseball.<\/p>\n<p>The bullpen is fine.<\/p>\n<p>The rotation\u2026is not. This was no more clear than yesterday, in an event that some Orioles faithful are dubbing \u201cRed Easter\u201d (ok, no one\u2019s calling it that) in which Cincinnati, led by a 6-for-7 performance by one-time Norfolk backup catcher\u00a0Austin Wynns, absolutely blazed\u00a0Charlie Morton\u00a0and a potpourri of Orioles waiver wire claims,\u00a0Cionel Perez, and bench position players for 24 runs.<\/p>\n<p>YIKES. Somehow, the Orioles came into that game with a positive run differential. Needless to say, that is no longer the case.<\/p>\n<p>If you squint, the Orioles rotation might have two credible back-end starters (Tomoyuki Sugano\u00a0and\u00a0Dean Kremer), and one #6-type (Brandon Young). Morton looks cooked.\u00a0Cade Povich\u00a0looks like AAA depth.\u00a0Zach Eflin\u00a0might be back in a turn or two. Who knows about Chace McDermott or\u00a0Trevor Rogers, who both have major questions even if they are healthy?<\/p>\n<p>So where do the Orioles turn to fill two rotation spots?<\/p>\n<p>I have a few ideas. Let\u2019s play GM.<\/p>\n<h3>Idea 1: Prospect Challenge Trade<\/h3>\n<p>Anyone remember the Jazz Chisholm-for-Zac Gallen\u00a0trade that the Marlins and Diamondbacks swung a few years ago?<\/p>\n<p>I have a new version of that trade.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Orioles trade\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Coby Mayo<\/p>\n<p><strong>Twins trade<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Zebby Matthews<br \/>\nThe Twins are a relatively pitching-rich organization.\u00a0David Festa\u00a0and Matthews, who started the year in the Twins AAA rotation, would have been a nice 1-2 punch for the Orioles.<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles love Mayo and have for a while. However, as long as\u00a0Ryan Mountcastle\u00a0is on this team, it\u2019s become clear that the Orioles don\u2019t have a spot for Coby on the big league roster, especially as the evidence mounts that Mayo is not an MLB-caliber 3B defender. With the Orioles seemingly uninterested in trying Mayo in the corner OF, his fate has become inextricably linked to Mountcastle.<\/p>\n<p>I would suggest a Mountcastle-for-pitching trade instead, but I suspect Mounty would more likely get us someone like\u00a0Chris Paddack\u00a0than a potential impact guy like Matthews. I\u2019d rather just roll with Povich over Paddack.<\/p>\n<p>So let\u2019s think about this a little further.<\/p>\n<p>Pitching analyst extraordinaire Thomas Nestico absolutely adores Matthews. After a recent AAA start, Nestico published this graphic regarding Matthews on his page @TJstats:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-759710\" src=\"https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/zebby.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 558px) 100vw, 558px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/zebby.png 558w, https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/zebby-298x300.png 298w, https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/zebby-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/zebby-100x100.png 100w, https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/zebby-24x24.png 24w, https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/zebby-48x48.png 48w, https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/zebby-96x96.png 96w\" alt=\"\" width=\"558\" height=\"562\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Matthews is a control\/command artist (plus-plus) who has seen a recent jump in stuff in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Matthews now sports a near-80 grade fastball that sits in the high-90s and multiple plus secondaries including a slider and change-up that he can command to both sides of the plate.<\/p>\n<p>Somehow, the 7-15 Twins (yup O\u2019s fans, it can get worse) have Matthews wasting pitches in AAA in favor of Morton-challenger-for-worst-pitcher in baseball Paddack.<\/p>\n<p>Some fans have pushed the Mayo-for-Sandy Alcantara\u00a0narrative, myself included. However, in Matthews the Orioles would net more years of control, a better health track record, and more promising current performance. Matthews is the epitome of stability, and the Orioles desperately need that in their rotation.<\/p>\n<h3>Idea 2: Aggressive Pitching Promotions<\/h3>\n<p>In a way, this has already begun. I noted on X a few weeks ago that the Orioles are allowing their pitching prospects to throw more pitches, much earlier in the season, than they did in previous years.<\/p>\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"\" title=\"X Post\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=true&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;features=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%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1910694143661113475&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Feutawstreetreport.com%2Forioles-pitching-fixes%2F&amp;sessionId=fe6b5be4e06326c5ee2f0b5dd374c31cbd58f5d0&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=2615f7e52b7e0%3A1702314776716&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1910694143661113475\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>Now, with the promotion of 24-year-old A+ pitcher\u00a0Braxton Bragg to AA after just three dominant starts (16.1, 0 ER, 18 Ks, 16 swstr%), we might be seeing a new kind of promotional aggression for the Orioles, perhaps somewhat due to pressing MLB need.<\/p>\n<p>This can work. Last year, the Atlanta Braves promoted a 24-year-old pitcher at A+ to AA after just six starts. Following two dominant AA starts, that pitcher was then promoted to the major leagues. That pitcher was\u00a0Spencer Schwellenbach, who many now consider a top-20 or so pitcher in baseball.<\/p>\n<p>Eric Longenhagen of Fangraphs was fairly high on Bragg in his recent list (16th\u00a0ranked in the system).\u00a0Of Bragg, Longenhagen writes:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Bragg\u2019s low release height creates uphill angle on his 92-95 mph rise\/run fastball, which allowed it to miss bats at a plus rate, as did his low-80s lateral-action slider. He can manipulate the shape of his breaker to be more like a cutter at times, and his command of it is plus. The sink on his changeup is analytically exciting, and if Bragg can more consistently get that pitch to finish below the zone rather than in it, it\u2019s going to be a plus weapon.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>So along with Bragg, who else is a candidate for aggressive promotion?<\/p>\n<p><strong>AAA<\/strong>: Cameron Weston\u00a0&amp;\u00a0Kyle Brnovich<\/p>\n<p>Our current AAA depth starters. Both are a little bit interesting: Brnovich is striking oodles of guys out and Weston has a deep arsenal of average-ish pitches, a little like a right-handed Povich. Neither has been particularly good at AAA, however, and it seems like a stretch to think they are going to suddenly be serviceable against much better competition at the big-league level.<\/p>\n<p><strong>AA:\u00a0Levi Wells\u00a0and\u00a0Zach Fruit<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>These two have maybe the best stuff+ in the system. Wells has been dominant so far: 11.1 IP, 2 ER, 12 Ks, already at AA so could make the jump directly to the big leagues. However, he isn\u2019t very built up, averaging about 60 pitches per outing. He has also been used more in a piggy-back role than as a starter. He\u2019s kept the walks under control this year, but has struggled with control historically, which can be a real problem at the major league level. Fruit has been bad so far; however, we saw the premium stuff in spring. Hopefully he turns it around fast and makes himself an option.<\/p>\n<p><strong>A+:<\/strong> Michael Forret\u00a0&amp;\u00a0Nestor German<\/p>\n<p>These two are fairly young (Forret is 21, German is 23). Forret has been dominant all year, while German has two good starts, and one bad start. Both are getting whiffs, with 15 and 16 swstr% respectively. Forret has been especially dominant (14.2 IP, 1 ER, just 3 hits, 19 Ks). I just don\u2019t know if these two are really polished enough to make a big league impact this year. But if Forret keeps it rolling and if German sees his velo and command tick up as the year goes on as in 2024, who knows?<\/p>\n<h3>Idea 3: Desperate Times Call for Desperate Measures<\/h3>\n<p>Let\u2019s get downright whacky.<\/p>\n<p>Bear with me.<\/p>\n<p><strong>What do\u00a0Michael King,\u00a0Clay Holmes,\u00a0Seth Lugo, and\u00a0Garrett Crochet\u00a0have in common?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s right, they were all bullpen arms with three or more pitches who transitioned seamlessly into starting roles.<\/p>\n<p>That being said, the only of these pitchers who did this mid-season wasKing at the end of 2023. I went back and looked at his game-log leading up to that transition.<\/p>\n<p>To me, it seems like a transitioning bullpen arm would need the following outings:<\/p>\n<p>25 pitches (relief outing)<\/p>\n<p>40 pitches (relief outing)<\/p>\n<p>60 pitches (long relief outing or short start)<\/p>\n<p>70-80 pitches (first full-ish start)<\/p>\n<p>So, who is the best candidate in our bullpen to transition to the rotation, keeping in mind their 1) chance of success 2) value to the team out of the bullpen and 3) chance of actually being good?<\/p>\n<p>You might say\u00a0Keegan Akin. For me, he doesn\u2019t surpass the Povich line (if the guy is unlikely to be better than Povich, don\u2019t bother).<\/p>\n<p>Hold on to your hats. Take a deep breath.<\/p>\n<p>My proposal is that the Orioles give\u00a0Bryan Baker\u00a0a shot.<\/p>\n<p>Most of you wanted to cast off Baker into oblivion after he allowed a couple wind-aided HRs this spring. What do we really have to lose?<\/p>\n<p>Here is why I think Baker is our best bullpen candidate.<\/p>\n<p>-3 plus pitches<\/p>\n<p>-MPHs to spare on the fastball<\/p>\n<p>-Playing on house cash (unlike bullpen guys we want to rely on long term like\u00a0Felix Bautista\u00a0or\u00a0Yennier Cano)<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-759709 lazyloaded\" src=\"https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/bakerstatcast.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 522px) 100vw, 522px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/bakerstatcast.png 522w, https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/bakerstatcast-221x300.png 221w\" alt=\"\" width=\"522\" height=\"708\" data-src=\"https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/bakerstatcast.png\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/bakerstatcast.png 522w, https:\/\/eutawstreetreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/bakerstatcast-221x300.png 221w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 522px) 100vw, 522px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Baker also seems like the kind of guy who is full of competitive fire and up for a new challenge. He\u2019s been an absolute stalwart for us so far and has bailed out starters on numerous occasions.<\/p>\n<p>Baker has already thrown 29 pitches in an outing this year. My order of operations for him would be this: 1) Open for Povich\u2019s next start (2-3 IP, 35-45 pitches). 2) Give him a 60-pitch start with a long-relief arm on standby. 3) Let him bake!<\/p>\n<h3>Conclusion<\/h3>\n<p>Yes, the Orioles have had injuries, but so have other rotations. Look at the Mets who\u2019ve lost most of their planned opening day rotation but have still performed at the top of the league.<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles front office is highly disciplined, but sometimes that discipline presents more as\u00a0<em>risk-aversion<\/em>\u00a0or what fans might call \u201cplaying scared\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Well, as a wise man once said, sometimes when you stare into a void the void begins to stare back into you. That is where the Orioles are, rotation-wise.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s be aggressive in pulling this rotation up to a league-average level. I don\u2019t think\u00a0Kyle Gibson\u00a0is going to save us, but if the Orioles play their cards right, our May rotation could look like:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Eflin<\/li>\n<li>Sugano<\/li>\n<li>Kremer<\/li>\n<li>Gibson<\/li>\n<li>Matthews\/Baker\/Bragg<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>I can\u2019t say I\u2019m hopeful, but the season is still young, and our offense should be absolutely demonic as the weather heats up.<\/p>\n<div id=\"AdThrive_Content_9_desktop\" class=\"adthrive-ad adthrive-content adthrive-content-9 adthrive-ad-cls\" data-google-query-id=\"CI_E4eOO64wDFdFZwgUdgVQd1g\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Orioles are a team of extremes. This was no more apparent than in this weekend\u2019s three-game series with the Cincinnati Reds, where one day after being&#8230; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":50034,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50030","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Breaking News: Three Potential Paths to Fix the Orioles\u2019 Ghastly Pitching - NEWS USA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=50030\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Breaking News: Three Potential Paths to Fix the Orioles\u2019 Ghastly Pitching - NEWS USA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Orioles are a team of extremes. 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