{"id":49251,"date":"2025-04-18T15:04:44","date_gmt":"2025-04-18T15:04:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=49251"},"modified":"2025-04-18T15:04:44","modified_gmt":"2025-04-18T15:04:44","slug":"why-red-sox-can-expect-triston-casas-breakout-very-soon-nesn-com","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=49251","title":{"rendered":"Why Red Sox Can Expect Triston Casas Breakout Very Soon &#8211; NESN.com"},"content":{"rendered":"<article id=\"post-2027370\"><!--?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ??--><!--?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ??-->If the Red Sox are going to get where they want to go, they need Triston Casas to be a franchise stud first baseman.<\/p>\n<p>If you look at his stats through the first few weeks of the 2025 season, one could comfortably say he hasn\u2019t fulfilled that role, especially based on his own personal expectations. However, don\u2019t be surprised if that starts to change as soon as this weekend in Boston\u2019s return to Fenway Park.<\/p>\n<p>Casas is hitting a paltry .172 (11-for-64) through his first 18 games this season. He has just one home run and three doubles. Despite hitting in the middle of the Red Sox order, he has just three RBIs. On top of that, Casas has 18 strikeouts in 70 plate appearances with just three walks.<\/p>\n<p>It has not been good. However, the process has started to improve recently, and the results should come soon.<\/p>\n<p>Casas is just 3-for-17 over his last five games, but if you look a little deeper, there are signs of progress. He\u2019s starting to put the ball in play (just three strikeouts), and when he puts it in play, he\u2019s hitting it hard.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Story continues below advertisement<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>In the three games against the Rays earlier this week, Casas hit six balls in play with an exit velocity of at least 97 mph (consistently doing that would be Shohei Ohtani, top 1 percentile stuff), and he had one hit to show for it. Over that stretch, Casas\u2019 expected batting average \u2014 .299 \u2014 is more than 100 points better than his actual batting average (.176).<\/p>\n<figure><\/figure>\n<p>Casas also had three batted balls during the Tampa Bay series with expected batting averages of .470, .680 and .340 \u2014 and all three went for outs.<\/p>\n<p>The first baseman\u2019s .411 expected slugging percentage is in line with the league average (.417) through this point of the season. Of course, the Red Sox do need Casas to be better than league average, but it does help illustrate that his performance hasn\u2019t been as bad as it has looked. To that same point, the difference between Casas\u2019 expected slugging percentage and actual slugging percentage is one of the biggest in baseball. Only 20 qualified hitters have been more \u201cunlucky\u201d to this point.<\/p>\n<p>Again, that is not to say Casas has been unlucky. There have been some uncompetitive at-bats, and he hasn\u2019t looked completely comfortable. But the most recent evidence suggests that could finally be starting to change, and if that\u2019s the case, the results shouldn\u2019t be too far behind.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Story continues below advertisement<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Getting back to Fenway Park \u2014 where his career OPS is more than 100 points better than it is on the road \u2014 for the next seven games should help, too.<\/p>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Red Sox first baseman Triston Casas has had a rough start to 2025, but there&#8217;s evidence that suggests a breakout could be coming.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":49252,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49251","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Why Red Sox Can Expect Triston Casas Breakout Very Soon - NESN.com - NEWS USA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=49251\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why Red Sox Can Expect Triston Casas Breakout Very Soon - NESN.com - NEWS USA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Red Sox first baseman Triston Casas has had a rough start to 2025, but there&#039;s evidence that suggests a breakout could be coming.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=49251\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"NEWS USA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-04-18T15:04:44+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/avtvip-79-4.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"900\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"900\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"MrThanh\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"MrThanh\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=49251\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=49251\",\"name\":\"Why Red Sox Can Expect Triston Casas Breakout Very Soon - NESN.com - NEWS USA\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=49251#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=49251#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/avtvip-79-4.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-04-18T15:04:44+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-04-18T15:04:44+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/#\/schema\/person\/850fd1b8bcb1d322b7f0a04b3d2f18ec\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=49251#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=49251\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=49251#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/avtvip-79-4.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/avtvip-79-4.jpg\",\"width\":900,\"height\":900},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=49251#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Why Red Sox Can Expect Triston Casas Breakout Very Soon &#8211; 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