{"id":130909,"date":"2025-12-15T09:13:18","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T09:13:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=130909"},"modified":"2025-12-15T09:13:18","modified_gmt":"2025-12-15T09:13:18","slug":"%f0%9f%9a%a8-report-theres-also-confidence-in-the-current-wave-of-young-arms-just-as-griffin-jax-and-louis-varland-before-them-several-starting-pitching-prospects-are-l","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=130909","title":{"rendered":"\ud83d\udea8 REPORT: There\u2019s also confidence in the current wave of young arms. Just as\u00a0Griffin Jax\u00a0and\u00a0Louis Varland\u00a0before them, several starting pitching prospects are likely to be converted into relievers. Scroll through the list of arms acquired or already in the system, and it\u2019s almost a certainty that one or more will be asked to handle late-inning duties by season\u2019s end."},"content":{"rendered":"
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The Twins aren\u2019t broken, they\u2019re operating exactly as designed — even if that design tests everyone\u2019s patience.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Image courtesy of \u00a9 Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Certainly, the\u00a0list of teams that have yet to sign a major league free agent\u00a0is trying to tell us something. It always is. When that list includes the Nationals and Rockies — two clubs that spent 2025 playing out the string and still managed to finish a combined 80 games out of first place — the message isn\u2019t exactly encrypted.<\/p>\n

Those organizations have made peace with their current reality, and free agency is apparently not the place where they plan to fix it.<\/p>\n

As a reminder, Major League Baseball ownership is not required to spend money in any sort of equitable or competitive way.<\/p>\n

There are luxury tax penalties, sure, but many teams treat those like speed bumps — something to hit harder so you get airborne on the other side.<\/p>\n

The Dodgers, perched at the top of the payroll food chain,\u00a0pay a luxury tax larger than the entire payrolls of 12 other teams. This is not an accident. It\u2019s a choice.<\/p>\n

None of this is meant as an excuse for the Pohlad family.<\/p>\n

They are free to spend as much as they\u2019d like. In fact, it would probably make them more money in the long run.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s\u00a0research on fandom psychology\u00a0showing that when teams win championships during a child\u2019s formative years (roughly ages 8 to 12), the emotional attachment is basically permanent.<\/p>\n

Speaking as someone who was 8 and 10 when the Twins last won the World Series, I can say with some confidence that without those titles, I probably wouldn\u2019t be sitting here banging away at a keyboard explaining why this organization should win baseball games.<\/p>\n

You can argue, and people often do, that baseball in Minnesota presents unique challenges. Cold spring weather. Cabin weekends.<\/p>\n

A population that wants to be outside the second the snow melts. Pepper in the lingering perception that downtown isn\u2019t safe. (I\u2019d argue that\u2019s at least partially manufactured, but the response to it is very real.<\/p>\n

Target Field\u2019s surrounding infrastructure is designed so fans can exit their cars, enter a ramp, cross a skyway, and reach their seats without ever really interacting with downtown at all.)<\/p>\n

Then there\u2019s the simple, unavoidable cost of taking a family to a game. Wrap that all in a fetid burrito shell of losing baseball and you can see how the attendance has shrunk to near nothing.<\/p>\n

All of that is to say<\/strong>: winning could solve a lot of those problems. Grabbing attention in a positive way would help awake a dormant fanbase.<\/p>\n

It would be easy — and honestly pretty cathartic — to wallow in the reality that the Twins aren\u2019t going to \u201cplay the spend game.\u201d<\/p>\n

The ongoing team sale saga only reinforces why blowing past self-imposed guardrails might not be prudent when buyers never quite materialize.<\/p>\n

This is simply the world the Twins have chosen to operate in. We can be mad about it. We can tweet about it. But we don\u2019t control it.<\/p>\n

Which brings us to the first immutable truth of the Twins\u2019 offseason: they are not shopping in the premium free agent aisle.<\/p>\n

You can point to\u00a0Carlos Correa\u00a0as evidence that they\u2019ll chase elite talent, but even there the market was softened by injury concerns.<\/p>\n

Acknowledging that, you\u2019d still think there should be some options in the next tier, those players who fit a team publicly committed to building around its existing core.<\/p>\n

As Derek Falvey explained during the Winter Meetings, this is just how the market works now.<\/p>\n

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\u201cThere\u2019s premium free agents every cycle seeking some of the most significant contracts every offseason. You\u2019d be surprised how many guys behind that all think they peg off of that. Some teams might say \u2018I know this team has a lot of money to spend on this player but if they don\u2019t get him we\u2019re right in the mix in the next band.\u2019 That\u2019s six players who all think they\u2019re getting the next band of money. There\u2019s a bit of a domino effect that doesn\u2019t necessarily mean bargain bin or guys that are cheaper. It\u2019s just the reality of the sequence of events.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>\n

The Twins have openly acknowledged the need for a power bat, but the odds of that bat being the market-setter — someone like\u00a0Pete Alonso\u00a0— were always close to zero.<\/p>\n

Yes, it would have been fun to watch the Polar Bear deposit baseballs into the Target Field seats for a couple of summers.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s also true that aging corner infielders on long-term deals have a tendency to stop aging gracefully right around the time the contract gets uncomfortable.<\/p>\n

The real question is whether similar production can be found in the next tier — the Ryan O\u2019Hearn or Carlos Santana types who sat just behind Alonso in WAR in 2025.<\/p>\n

That doesn\u2019t mean help isn\u2019t coming. As Falvey noted, conversations with late-signing free agents often begin far earlier than fans realize.<\/p>\n

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\u201cThere will be plenty of time where we make an offer on a player in late November or early December and be told \u2018We\u2019re not ready to engage on the offer.\u2019 You go with no feedback for a period of time. That happens plenty. Eventually, you get to it later. Last year,\u00a0Harrison Bader\u00a0was a guy we liked… We ultimately came to a place where we could agree on a deal until much later.\u00a0Danny Coulombe, a good fit for us, and even\u00a0Ty France\u00a0later on, a guy we monitored through the offseason. All those guys came later in the offseason, but we were talking about them in December.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>\n

It\u2019s not sexy, but it\u2019s worth remembering that Bader\u2019s 4.4 WAR in 2025 ranked among the best of any current free agent center fielder — and 2.7 of that came in a Twins uniform.<\/p>\n

Taken together, the Bader, Coulombe, and France trio produced 5.1 WAR at a combined cost of roughly $8.75 million. That\u2019s not a terrible return for waiting out the market.<\/p>\n

That said, there\u2019s a fine line between acknowledging efficient roster construction and applauding austerity, and celebrating miserly decision-making by front offices might be the most lasting — and frustrating — legacy\u00a0Moneyball<\/em> left an entire generation of fans.<\/p>\n

The second notable offseason trend is the reliever market, where top-end arms have been scooped up like James Woods following a trail of candy — and the Twins haven\u2019t even been rumored participants.<\/p>\n

This is especially confusing given that the front office effectively emptied the bullpen at last year\u2019s trade deadline. It\u2019s also a team that operates squarely in the modern philosophy of shortening games and leaning heavily on relievers.<\/p>\n

In 2025, Twins relievers threw multiple innings just 109 times. Only the Cubs and Phillies used their bullpen in shorter bursts.<\/p>\n

If there were ever a roster primed for a bullpen reload, it\u2019s this one.<\/p>\n

There are reasons for the restraint. Historically, Falvey\u2019s front office has avoided multi-year deals for free agent relievers.<\/p>\n

Most additions come late in the offseason, on one-year contracts. Given the volatility of bullpen arms, that logic tracks. Pitching is the most expensive commodity on the open market, and the Twins have invested heavily in an \u201carm barn\u201d designed to produce options internally at a fraction of the cost.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s also confidence in the current wave of young arms. Just as\u00a0Griffin Jax\u00a0and\u00a0Louis Varland\u00a0before them, several starting pitching prospects are likely to be converted into relievers.<\/p>\n

Scroll through the list of arms acquired or already in the system, and it\u2019s almost a certainty that one or more will be asked to handle late-inning duties by season\u2019s end.<\/p>\n

The Twins will continue to take shots on one-year relievers and waiver claims they believe can be molded into something more.<\/p>\n

It hasn\u2019t always worked, but keeping long-term money off the bullpen preserves flexibility elsewhere.<\/p>\n

Still, it\u2019s hard not to feel exhausted by the annual exercise of justifying all of this. From a fan\u2019s perspective, the math is simple: identify the best players and go get them.<\/p>\n

The Twins\u2019 ownership and front office have chosen a different equation, complete with clearly defined guardrails. And like it or not, they\u2019ll continue operating within them — come hell, high water, or another quiet winter.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Twins aren\u2019t broken, they\u2019re operating exactly as designed — even if that design tests everyone\u2019s patience. Image courtesy of \u00a9 Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images Certainly, the\u00a0list… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":130912,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-130909","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb"],"yoast_head":"\n\ud83d\udea8 REPORT: There\u2019s also confidence in the current wave of young arms. Just as\u00a0Griffin Jax\u00a0and\u00a0Louis Varland\u00a0before them, several starting pitching prospects are likely to be converted into relievers. 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