{"id":112907,"date":"2025-10-26T22:04:40","date_gmt":"2025-10-26T22:04:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=112907"},"modified":"2025-10-26T22:04:40","modified_gmt":"2025-10-26T22:04:40","slug":"%f0%9f%94%a5-breaking-braves-fireballer-daysbel-hernandez-faces-uncertain-future-after-rollercoaster-2025-season-from-electric-fastballs-to-painful-injuries-can-atlanta-s","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=112907","title":{"rendered":"\ud83d\udd25 \u201cBREAKING: Braves\u2019 Fireballer Daysbel Hern\u00e1ndez Faces Uncertain Future After Rollercoaster 2025 Season \u2014 From Electric Fastballs to Painful Injuries, Can Atlanta Still Count on Him for a Comeback?\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"\">Daysbel Hern\u00e1ndez has a live arm and has shown flashes of the type of stuff that could make any fan dream of him coming in during a big moment in a big game and pitching a shutdown inning in order to preserve the lead. However, he\u2019s found it pretty difficult to put it all together in terms of control and command. He also hasn\u2019t had much of an opportunity to stick around at the big league level, consistently, though this is partly the result of the \u201clack of control and command\u201d thing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">2025 figured to be his chance to establish himself in Atlanta\u2019s bullpen as a reliable reliever. Again, there were signs that he could potentially step up and become a solid part of the relief corps. Was he able to put it together? I think y\u2019all know the answer to that but let\u2019s just go ahead and walk through his season, shall we?<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<h4>How acquired<\/h4>\n<p class=\"\">The Braves signed Daysbel Hern\u00e1ndez from Cuba as an international free agent back in 2017. He\u2019s been with the organization for his entire professional career.<\/p>\n<h4>What were the expectations?<\/h4>\n<p class=\"\">This was hopefully going to be the year where Hern\u00e1ndez established himself as one of the more reliable arms in Atlanta\u2019s bullpen.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Hernandez was first called up in July 2023, and had an exciting debut where he struck out the side, but then three straight unremarkable outings and hit the shelf for pretty much the rest of the season with forearm inflammation. He was full yo-yo in 2024, getting recalled six separate times, but he pitched 18 really good innings in 16 appearances, with a 60 ERA-, 54 FIP-, and an 85 xFIP-, giving him 0.5 fWAR in that very limited exposure. There was no real command to speak of, but his slider was approaching unhittable (40-plus percent whiff rate, sub-.200 xwOBA-against), and Hernandez came into 2025 as a guy expected to be a middle relief mainstay, with projections tagging him as an average reliever from the get-go.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">The hope was that with improved control and command, Hern\u00e1ndez would grab a consistent role in the bullpen on the back of consistency in his pitching, and even push his way into the higher-leverage mix, especially given the impending departure of Raisel Iglesias.<\/p>\n<h4>2025 results<\/h4>\n<p class=\"\">Welp, then 2025 happened, and it\u2019s looking like the Braves and Hern\u00e1ndez are going to have to go back to the drawing board after the season that he just had. His strikeout rate went down precipitously, going from 35.1 percent over 18 innings in 2024 to 20.1 percent over 37 innings pitched in 2025. While Hern\u00e1ndez\u2019s ability to miss bats and rack up strikeouts was what was bringing him to The Show, a dip would\u2019ve been somewhat acceptable if it coincided with a dip in walk rate as well.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">That didn\u2019t happen either, as his walk rate ticked up nearly five full percentage points from 13.5 percent in 2024 to 18.3 percent in 2025. As such, Hern\u00e1ndez ended up finishing with a respectable ERA of 3.41 (81 ERA-) but a not-so-respectable FIP of 5.00 (123 FIP-), resulting in a pretty nasty-looking fWAR of -0.4 for the season. His xFIP was even worse at a 136 xFIP-; Hernandez only got tagged for three homers all season, a relatively rare Braves reliever that got killed by something other than the longball.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">His fastball velocity is still ferocious, as he averaged nearly 98 mph on his four-seamer, good enough to place him int he 94th percentile for the second-consecutive season. As such, he actually finished the season with an intriguing xBA of .212 and a reasonable 4.16 xERA \u2014 up from a microscopic .169 and 2.49, respectively, back in 2024 but still enough to make you think that he could be really nasty to deal with if he can one day get his control and command in check.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">That\u2019s the problem, though: he\u2019s walking batters at an alarming rate and he\u2019s also getting hit very hard when batters do eventually make contact with what he\u2019s putting out there. As a result, Daysbel Hern\u00e1ndez had a season where he\u2019s still throwing the ball very hard but seeing very few positive results coming from that elevated velocity.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">In early June, Hernandez once again hit the shelf with the same forearm inflammation, and then missed about a month before going yo-yo again. But, eight days into his third stint with the team, he was shut down with shoulder inflammation.<\/p>\n<h4>What went right?<\/h4>\n<p class=\"\">When Daysbel Hern\u00e1ndez was missing bats and painting the corners, he looked absolutely nasty. The best example I can think of is his appearance on July 5 during a Braves loss to the Orioles. The blame for that loss couldn\u2019t be placed at Daysbel\u2019s feet, as he kept the Orioles scoreless over 1 2\/3 innings. He did walk one batter while he was out there but he struck out a season-high four batters during the process \u2014 including sitting down Colton Cowser to end the eighth inning with a 99-mph heater that perfectly hit the outside corner of the strike zone. Stuff like this is what makes Daysbel Hern\u00e1ndez such a tantalizing option for the bullpen going forward.<\/p>\n<figure>\n<div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/ny\/api\/res\/1.2\/l1R_Vy_3eKf3eldwHttDMw--\/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTY0MDtjZj13ZWJw\/https:\/\/media.zenfs.com\/en\/sb_nation_articles_115\/6e61671acd208d2df1b5daa2c4d6a1f0\" alt=\"2025 Atlanta Braves Player Review: Daysbel Hern\u00e1ndez\" width=\"960\" height=\"640\" data-nimg=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n<p><dialog aria-label=\"Image Lightbox\" aria-modal=\"true\"><\/dialog><\/div><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"\">Other than that, you really have to hang your hat on the fact that he did not allow a single homer for his first 37 outings of the year. That kept his ERA and FIP more reasonable than they probably should have been. Because of that, he was able to survive various higher-leverage innings despite the massive walks, like on April 26, when he had a two-walk inning with a one-run lead in Arizona, but managed to preserve the lead because the ball in play against him was this:<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">View Link<\/p>\n<h4>What went wrong?<\/h4>\n<p class=\"\">Hern\u00e1ndez\u2019 final two appearances of the 2025 season for the Braves summed up everything that appears to be holding him back from being even a solidly-reliable reliever going forward, and then some. On August 18 against the White Sox, Hern\u00e1ndez got knocked and charged with three runs (two earned) on four hits (one of which was a homer, his first one allowed of the season) and two walks for the 1 1\/3 innings that he spent on the mound. Again, if he can\u2019t get consistent whiffs or put his pitches where he wants them, he\u2019s always going to find himself in trouble.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">He got optioned to Triple-A after that outing and didn\u2019t return until September 6, which is when he got walloped by the Mariners for two homers and three runs while getting just two outs. Then he hit the shelf with shoulder inflammation in his throwing arm. None of this is good!<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Ending a bad season on a particularly low note aside, the actual issue with Hernandez was that batters eventually just figured out that they didn\u2019t need to swing. The MLB average chase rate is a bit over one in four pitches; Hernandez\u2019 slider had a chase rate of over 36 percent in April, and then it crashed to below league average in May, and never really rebounded to the same level. At the same time, the zone rate of his slider cratered completely after April, which only reinforced the dual, problematic ideas of: A) batters don\u2019t need to swing at the slider because it\u2019s not a strike, and B) if it\u2019s a strike, it\u2019s far more likely to be a fastball.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">But, the problem for the Braves is that they either didn\u2019t seem to realize this, or didn\u2019t care. Through his struggles, his injury stints, his time getting shuttled between Atlanta and Gwinnett, he finished with <em><strong>the second highest average leverage index<\/strong><\/em> among the team\u2019s relievers, behind only Iglesias. (And technically, behind Craig Kimbrel\u2019s one inning.) Sure, some of that leverage he created himself, but if you look at when he was inserted into the game, he was <em>still<\/em> second if you exclude the singular relief appearances from Kimbrel and Hurston Waldrep. The Braves did use him in slightly lower leverage after his first IL stint, but he was still fourth on the team in average leverage and point-of-insertion leverage, ahead of Tyler Kinley and Aaron Bummer. That last outing of the season where he got thrashed by Mariners and sent to the IL afterwards? He came into that game when it was tied 2-2 in the seventh; the Braves ended up losing 10-2. Oops, all around.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">View Link<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">And, of course, no pitcher is immune from straight-up nonsense, even if they\u2019re gonna go 37 outings without allowing a homer, and walk a ton of batters. Here\u2019s the lowest-WPA play for the Braves from Hern\u00e1ndez\u2019 time on the mound:<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">View Link<\/p>\n<h4>2026 Outlook<\/h4>\n<p class=\"\">Daysbel Hern\u00e1ndez already figured to be a long shot to be a significant part of Atlanta\u2019s bullpen in 2026 after the rough season that he had in 2025. Those odds may be even longer depending on how long it takes him to recover from the shoulder ailment that caused the Braves to shut him down to end the season. I\u2019d imagine that they probably would\u2019ve let him try to figure things out at the tail end of a lost season for the ballclub if his injury wasn\u2019t that bad, so I figure that whatever the injury was must\u2019ve really been serious enough to warrant the move to the 60-Day IL, at that.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">If it is a serious injury, then we could be a long way off from seeing Daysbel Hern\u00e1ndez making a serious impact as a big league reliever. Shoulder injuries for pitchers are almost always very bad news and tricky for them to recover from. Assuming he can recover from this, he still has the type of stuff that could make him an effective reliever in the future \u2014 maybe even a high-leverage hurler if all goes well. However, those appear to be pretty long odds going forward. Hern\u00e1ndez did express interest in pitching for Cuba in the World Baseball Classic next spring. If he\u2019s good to go for that then maybe that could be a good sign for his odds of putting it together for the Braves. If not, then he\u2019s got a long road to traverse both in terms of recovery and improvement in order to put it all together at some point down the line.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">All in all, he looks more like a fringy roster guy slash replacement level reliever at this point, and needs to look way more like he did in 2024, probably over a sustained stretch of more than a season, to get back to \u201cyeah this guy can be a reliable reliever for us\u201d territory.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Was this the year where Daysbel Hern\u00e1ndez\u2019s results matched his stuff? Hahaha no.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":112908,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[179,964,1491,239,2797,1263,2335,4266,2805,2046,1632,2080,2996,1808],"class_list":["post-112907","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-aaron-bummer","tag-arizona","tag-atlanta","tag-braves","tag-colton-cowser","tag-craig-kimbrel","tag-daysbel-hernandez","tag-hernandez","tag-hurston-waldrep","tag-mariners","tag-raisel-iglesias","tag-the-braves","tag-tyler-kinley","tag-white-sox"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\ud83d\udd25 \u201cBREAKING: Braves\u2019 Fireballer Daysbel Hern\u00e1ndez Faces Uncertain Future After Rollercoaster 2025 Season \u2014 From Electric Fastballs to Painful Injuries, Can Atlanta Still Count on Him for a Comeback?\u201d - NEWS USA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sportnews.azontree.com\/?p=112907\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\ud83d\udd25 \u201cBREAKING: Braves\u2019 Fireballer Daysbel Hern\u00e1ndez Faces Uncertain Future After Rollercoaster 2025 Season \u2014 From Electric Fastballs to Painful Injuries, Can Atlanta Still Count on Him for a Comeback?\u201d - NEWS USA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Was this the year where Daysbel Hern\u00e1ndez\u2019s results matched his stuff? 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