As the MLB offseason unfolds, this week looms large with pivotal deadlines that could shake up team rosters. By Tuesday, teams need to decide on shielding players from the Rule 5 draft by adding them to their 40-man roster. Then, on Friday, comes the non-tender deadline, where teams determine the fate of their arbitration-eligible players — whether to offer them contracts or let them test the free agent waters.

For the Orioles, the path forward involves decisions on twelve players who have reached their arbitration phase. While some contracts are foregone conclusions, others teeter on the brink of non-tendering, introducing a potential influx of players into free agency.

Key Deadlines: Rule 5 and Non-Tender
Mark your calendars, because anyone on the roster who isn’t extended a contract by this Friday will immediately become a free agent, open to sign with any team. This Friday, November 22, is D-Day for these crucial decisions.

The No-Brainers: Orioles’ Sure Bets
Let’s break down the players clearly cemented in the Orioles’ plans.

Adley Rutschman ($5.5 million projected contract) is a cornerstone talent in Baltimore, and his future with the Orioles isn’t in question. Jorge Mateo is expected to be back, as per Mike Elias, ready to step in as a primary infield utility player for next season.

Then there’s Dean Kremer and Keegan Akin, both essential members of the pitching roster who performed admirably in 2024. Although Kyle Bradish and Tyler Wells underwent Tommy John surgery last year, they’re anticipated to rejoin mid-season 2025, ensuring their spot on the roster.

Likely Returns: Mountcastle and Soto
Ryan Mountcastle, estimated at $6.2 million, has been swirling in trade talks since summer.

If he’s not traded, expect Baltimore to retain him. Despite his 2024 struggles, cutting ties would surprise many.

Gregory Soto, valued at $4.5 million, didn’t exactly dazzle following his mid-season trade, but with Danny Coulombe leaving, Soto’s return is likely, though his performance remains under scrutiny.

On the Bubble: Decisions to Be Made
Ramon Urias ($3 million) has been a versatile utilityman but the infield is getting crowded with prospects like Coby Mayo emerging.

His future in Baltimore hangs in the balance. Similarly, Emmanuel Rivera, even after a sturdy 2024, might see his role phased out with upcoming talents such as Mayo and Samuel Basallo ready to seize opportunities.

Trevor Rogers ($2.3 million) struggled mightily post-trade and even in the minors. His return is questionable, yet possible. Jacob Webb stands as another unsure bet; while a reliable bullpen option last year, his stats over the previous two seasons weren’t as reassuring.

As this week unfolds, it’s a crucial time for the Orioles as they maneuver the tightrope of roster management, aiming to bolster their team while cutting ties where necessary. Orioles fans, strap in – it’s going to be an eventful ride.