It’s been well-established for a while now that the Baltimore Orioles’ biggest trade chip at the deadline is Cedric Mullins. He’s a free agent at the end of the season, a strong defender at a premium position, and has shown flashes of brilliance at the plate over the course of his career. Unfortunately, his play during the month of June threatens to torpedo his trade value.
Orioles fans have known that Mullins is a streaky hitter who relies on his speed, defense, and ability to draw walks to help prop up his value. It would be amazing if Mullins was closer to the 2021 version of himself, but he generally ends up being a 2-3 WAR player each season and that’s sufficient enough to make him an attractive trade target.
His 11 games this month, however, could cause his value to crater and raise questions as to whether or not he’s actually healthy and a viable trade candidate.
Cedric Mullins’ struggles (and injury) may cost the Orioles dearly at the trade deadline
In 41 plate appearances this month (since coming back from a hamstring injury), Mullins has posted a .154/.195/.359 slash line with two homers being the only bright spot on his résumé. A team can live with Mullins being an average hitter by wRC+ when he provides so much value with his glove and on the bases. However, being a black hole at the plate negates much of his baserunning value since he isn’t, you know, on basepaths. His defense doesn’t overcome that level of offensive ineptitude.
In an ideal world, Mullins would’ve come back from his injury and showed out. The price Baltimore could command for Mullins as a rental was always going to be somewhat limited, but there were sure to be a number of bidders for his services given the lack of available bats.
Instead, potential suitors will wonder which version of Mullins they would be getting, and if his hamstring is fully healed. Teams will almost certainly be getting a great defender in center, but those in need of help on offense may shy away now that Mullins has seemingly forgotten how to hit.
For the Orioles, the timing is absolutely brutal and another item on the long list of disappointments this season.