Ahead of Tuesday’s slate of games, the Braves sit eight games under .500, 13 games behind the NL East-leading Mets, and 7.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot.
With 92 games remaining, there’s still time for the Braves to make up ground to capture a postseason berth, but the odds are long.
According to FanGraphs, the Braves have a 28.1% chance of making the playoffs. FanDuel has the odds of Atlanta not making it to October at -420, which implies over an 80% chance.
The Braves also have the 6th-toughest strength of schedule remaining. The club has Ronald Acuna Jr. back, and he hasn’t skipped a beat from his 2023 MVP season. He looks every bit the best player in the National League again.
It just hasn’t resulted in wins for the good guys. Spencer Strider is also showing signs of his pre-surgery self in his most recent outing, and Jurickson Profar is set to return in two weeks.
If the Braves can get more production out of guys like Ozzie Albies and Michael Harris II, along with a fruitful trade deadline, a playoff push isn’t out of the question. But right now, I think a lot of Braves fans would give pessimistic responses to whether they believe this team can keep its postseason streak alive.
Winning is a cure-all, and there’s a critical stretch of play coming up. The Braves host the Mets for three games beginning tonight, then they’ll face the Marlins before heading to New York for another series against the Mets. Then, they’ll return home to host the Phillies. 13 games in 13 days against NL East foes, 10 of them against the Mets and Phillies.
We will have a much more clear idea of where the Braves sit in the playoff picture at the end of the month.