New metric ranks 49er QB Brock Purdy inside the top 10 even in a down year

We no longer have to reference completion percentage for quarterbacks when statistics like on-target percentage exist. But it seems like we’re introduced to a new metric every year.

Pro Football Network is the latest site to produce a metric we’ll discuss today. They call it “QB+.” Here’s the definition:

The QB+ metric is a formula that assigns a letter grade to each quarterback’s performance. The metric takes into account stats like success rate, third-down conversion rate, and pocket production. It also considers “clutch” performance, which is quantified using timeliness-based stats.

Once I read success rate, my interest was piqued. It’s a number that considers what happens over the course of the 60-70 plays in a game instead of being skewed by a pair of big plays, which is one of the biggest issues with “expected points added.”

For example, expected points added favors quarterbacks like Jordan Love and Sam Darnold, while success rate appreciates the Jared Goff’s and Matthew Stafford’s of the world.

Back to “QB+.” When looking at a new metric, you might want to look at who is at the top and who is at the bottom. For QB+, Lamar Jackson, Goff, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, and Joe Burrow had the five-highest scores in 2024. The worst scores this season were Deshaun Watson, Spencer Rattler, Anthony Richardson, Cooper Rush, Gardner Minshew, and Will Levis. We can all agree on which group of quarterbacks you want to be associated with.

San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy ranked sixth, behind Baker Mayfield, in QB+:

Brock Purdy, 49ers

Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers

Regular Season QB+: 87.6 (B+; 7th)

We may not hear much about Brock Purdy over the next month or so with the San Francisco 49ers not making the postseason. However, this is likely to be an offseason that prominently features him as he becomes eligible for an extension for the first time in his career.

2022’s Mr. Irrelevant has done everything he can to prove he deserves a big-time deal. Amazingly, a B+ with an 88 score is actually Purdy’s worst QB+ of his career. He did not throw enough passes to qualify as a rookie but was on pace for a QB+ over 90. Purdy then backed that up with a 95.7 (A) in 2023 and arguably could have been the MVP.

For the 2024 season, Purdy finished fifth in the league in overall EPA/DB (0.17) and fourth when playing under pressure (-0.08 EPA/DB) while sitting sixth when playing from a clean pocket (0.33 EPA/DB). Despite all the injuries around him, Purdy still averaged 8.1 nYPA (third) and a 44.3% conversion rate on third downs (eighth).

His touchdown-to-interception rate of 1.7 was a disappointment, thanks largely to his TD rate falling through the floor from 7.6 as a rookie and 7.0 in 2023 to 4.4 this season. That is not entirely on Purdy, given all the 49ers’ injuries this season, but it does paint the picture that he’s a product of the players surrounding him more so than a truly elite QB.

It will be fascinating to see what happens in contract negotiations this year with Purdy and the 49ers. It’s hard to make the case that he doesn’t deserve to be paid like a top-10 quarterback right now, but Purdy may even believe he should be in the top five.

Stats like third down conversion rate and how you deal with pressure are critical for success. Purdy, ranking highly in both areas, projects well and is another reason he’ll be paid handsomely this offseason.

It’d be troubling to see Purdy’s yards per attempt drop under pressure. That would suggest he’s either not trusting what he’s seeing or his eyes are dropping due to pressure, leading to check-downs. But that’s not who Brock is. If anything, he goes in the opposite direction, looking to heave a deep pass as a defender has a free run at Purdy. It’s a strong quality to have for a quarterback.

Purdy kept numerous plays alive during the year. Mobility is a must at quarterback, and the 49ers starter finished seventh in the NFL in scrambles and ran for the sixth-most first downs. Your offense is in good hands when your quarterback creates nearly two possessions per game with his legs.

It’s easy to forget that his 2024 season was without the best receiver on the team and one of the best in the NFL. When Purdy had Brandon Aiyuk, the results spoke for themselves.

Related Posts

🚨 SAINTS’ COMMITMENT TO CONTINUITY GIVES TYLER SHOUGH A MAJOR EDGE AS KEY ASSISTANTS STAY IN NEW ORLEANS 🚨 The Sаіntѕ’ focuѕ on contіnuіty ѕetѕ uр Tyler Shough for ѕucceѕѕ, wіth key аѕѕіѕtаntѕ chooѕіng to ѕtаy іn New Orleаnѕ. Whаt doeѕ thіѕ meаn for the teаm’ѕ future?

The young quаrterbаck wіll hаve іmmedіаte contіnuіty thаt the ѕаіntѕ wіll love. New Orleаnѕ ѕаіntѕ quаrterbаck Tyler ѕhough wіll be one of the toр cаndіdаteѕ to wіn Rookіe…

🚨 BREAKING: CHIEFS GM REVEALS TOP 3 CUTS DUE TO SALARY CAP STRUGGLES — PLAYERS LOOKING FOR NEW TEAMS 🚨 In а tough decіѕіon, the Chіefѕ GM аnnounceѕ the toр 3 cutѕ to free uр cар ѕраce, wіth рlаyerѕ now quіckly ѕeekіng new teаmѕ. Who wіll be on the move?

Kаnѕаѕ Cіty, Mіѕѕourі – Februаry, 2026 аѕ the Kаnѕаѕ Cіty Chіefѕ fаce the tougheѕt ѕаlаry cар ѕіtuаtіon іn the NFL, Generаl Mаnаger Brett Veаch іѕ fаcіng а…

🚨 BREAKING: NFL SACK LEADER AND 4X PRO BOWL DE BUYS $18 MILLION PROPERTY IN KANSAS CITY — FANS SPECULATE AGREEMENT WITH CHIEFS 🚨 The NFL’ѕ ѕаck leаder аnd four-tіme Pro Bowl defenѕіve end juѕt рurchаѕed аn $18 mіllіon рroрerty іn Kаnѕаѕ Cіty. Could а deаl wіth the Chіefѕ be on the horіzon?

Kаnѕаѕ Cіty, Mіѕѕourі – Februаry, 2026 іn а move thаt hаѕ ѕраrked wіdeѕрreаd ѕрeculаtіon, Trey Hendrіckѕon, the elіte раѕѕ ruѕher for the Cіncіnnаtі Bengаlѕ, hаѕ reрortedly рurchаѕed…

🚨 ESPN SUSPENDS CAM NEWTON INDEFINITELY AFTER DISRESPECTFUL COMMENTS ABOUT PACKERS QB JORDAN LOVE 🚨 Cаm Newton fаceѕ ѕuѕрenѕіon аfter controverѕіаl remаrkѕ аbout Jordаn Love, ѕраrkіng cаllѕ for а boycott. Whаt’ѕ next for the ESPN аnаlyѕt?

eѕрN hаѕ offіcіаlly decіded to ѕuѕрend аnаlyѕt Cаm Newton іndefіnіtely followіng controverѕіаl commentѕ аbout quаrterbаck Jordаn Love of the Green Bаy раckerѕ. The remаrkѕ, mаde on the…

🚨 RAVENS’ GAME-CHANGER: JORDYN TYSON COULD REVOLUTIONIZE BALTIMORE’S OFFENSE WITH LAMAR JACKSON 🚨 Jordyn Tyѕon іѕ reаdy to mаke wаveѕ іn Bаltіmore’ѕ offenѕe. Could he be the mіѕѕіng ріece аlongѕіde Lаmаr Jаckѕon to tаke the Rаvenѕ to the next level?

іn а ѕtunnіng develoрment thаt could comрletely reѕhарe the Bаltіmore Rаvenѕ offenѕe, Rаvenѕ generаl mаnаger erіc DeCoѕtа hаѕ mаde іt cleаr thаt Jordyn Tyѕon, the dynаmіc wіde receіver out of Colorаdo, іѕ рoіѕed to mаke…

🚨 EPIC NFL TRADE: LOS ANGELES CHARGERS ACQUIRE TYREEK HILL FROM DOLPHINS 🚨 The Chаrgerѕ mаke а bold move, lаndіng Tyreek Hіll іn а mаjor trаde wіth the Dolрhіnѕ. Whаt іmраct wіll thіѕ hаve on Loѕ Angeleѕ’ Suрer Bowl hoрeѕ?

Mаndаtory Credіt: Trevor Ruѕzkowѕkі-іmаgn іmаgeѕ   Tyreek Hіll hаѕ been one of the moѕt dynаmіc рlаymаkerѕ іn the NFL over the раѕt decаde, but hіѕ off-the-fіeld рroblemѕ,…