Gunnar Henderson Extension Unlikely? What It Means for the Orioles’ Long-Term Plans

The Baltimore Orioles have made it clear they are ready to compete now—but when it comes to locking up their young superstar Gunnar Henderson, the future may not be so straightforward.
After an aggressive offseason that included adding proven talent like Pete Alonso, Ryan Helsley, and Chris Bassitt—along with a five-year deal for Shane Baz—Baltimore signaled it is firmly in win-now mode. However, when it comes to extending Henderson, one MLB insider believes a deal is far from imminent.
Why a Gunnar Henderson Extension Looks “Extremely Low”

According to reports from insider Ken Rosenthal, the likelihood of Henderson signing a long-term extension with Baltimore in the near future is “extremely low.”
The biggest reason? Representation.
Henderson is represented by Scott Boras, one of the most powerful agents in baseball. Boras is well known for advising his clients to avoid early extensions and instead test free agency, where bidding wars can significantly increase contract value.
That strategy has historically paid off—and it makes an early deal between Henderson and the Orioles much more complicated.
The Boras Factor: Betting on the Open Market
Players represented by Boras rarely sign below-market extensions early in their careers. Instead, they typically:
- Play out team control years
- Maximize arbitration earnings
- Enter free agency at peak value
For Henderson, that timeline is especially appealing. He still has two years of team control remaining and is projected to hit free agency at just 26 years old—a prime age that could position him for a massive contract.
Unless the Orioles offer a deal well above typical extension value (which teams rarely do), there is little incentive for Henderson to sign early.
Orioles’ Perspective: Risk vs. Reward
From Baltimore’s standpoint, the situation is tricky.
Locking up Henderson now would:
- Secure a franchise cornerstone
- Provide long-term roster stability
- Potentially save money compared to future market value
But it would also require:
- A massive financial commitment
- Risk if performance declines or injuries occur
The Orioles could attempt a high-value offer—potentially in the $250 million range—but even that might not be enough to sway a Boras client away from free agency.
Henderson’s Value Continues to Rise

Despite a slightly down year in 2025, Henderson remains one of the brightest young stars in MLB.
His résumé already includes:
- AL Rookie of the Year (2023)
- Silver Slugger Award
- All-Star selection (2024)
He also showcased his talent on the international stage with Team USA in the World Baseball Classic, further boosting his profile.
At just 24 years old, Henderson still has room to improve—making his future value even more difficult to project.
Timing May Favor Waiting
Given the circumstances, the most likely scenario is that both sides wait.
For Henderson:
- More time = higher potential value
For the Orioles:
- More time = better evaluation of long-term worth
If Baltimore remains competitive and continues building a strong roster, they may still have an advantage when free agency arrives—but it will come at a much higher price.
Could the Orioles Pivot Instead?
If an extension truly isn’t realistic in the short term, the Orioles may shift focus to:
- Extending other young players not represented by Boras
- Continuing strategic free-agent signings
- Maintaining financial flexibility for future negotiations
This approach allows them to stay competitive without overcommitting prematurely.
The Bigger Picture: Contending vs. Controlling Costs
Baltimore is walking a fine line between:
- Building a championship-caliber roster now
- Managing long-term payroll sustainability
Letting Henderson play out his contract doesn’t mean losing him—it simply means the real negotiation may come later, with much higher stakes.
Final Takeaway

While the Orioles have shown a willingness to spend and compete, extending Gunnar Henderson appears unlikely in the near future—largely due to the influence of Scott Boras and the financial dynamics of MLB free agency.
For now, Baltimore fans can still enjoy watching their young star develop. But if current trends hold, any long-term commitment may have to wait until Henderson reaches the open market—where his value could skyrocket.