The Houston Astros are entering a new chapter-and not necessarily the one fans were hoping to read. After missing the postseason for the first time in a decade, the franchise that once defined October consistency is now trying to thread the needle between staying competitive and managing a tightening payroll. The dynasty may be showing cracks, but Houston isn’t ready to tear it all down just yet.

With limited financial flexibility and the luxury tax line looming, the Astros’ offseason has been more about calculated risks than big-ticket splashes. They’ve made a handful of additions-some with the potential to shift the playoff picture, others more likely to fade into the background. Let’s break down each acquisition and assess how much of an impact they could realistically have on Houston’s playoff hopes in 2026.

6. Roddery Muñoz, RHP (Reliever)

Muñoz is a Rule 5 pick, but he’s not your typical one. Most Rule 5 guys are raw, untested prospects-Muñoz already has nearly 100 big-league innings under his belt.

The issue? Those innings have come with a 6.73 ERA.

That’s not exactly the kind of track record that inspires confidence.

Houston’s plan to roll with a six-man rotation will put extra pressure on the bullpen, and Muñoz is caught in a tough spot. With only one optionable reliever (Bryan King), the Astros don’t have much room to maneuver.

That makes Muñoz a likely candidate to be the odd man out when roster shuffling begins. Unless he shows something early, his stay in Houston could be short-lived.

5. Nate Pearson, RHP (Starter/Reliever)

Once a top prospect with the Blue Jays, Pearson’s career has been derailed by injuries and inconsistency. The Astros took a low-risk flyer on the 29-year-old, hoping to tap into that long-lost potential. But after a rough showing with the Cubs-14.2 innings, 9.20 ERA-he’s already on the bubble.

Initially viewed as a possible rotation piece, Pearson now looks more like bullpen depth. And with other arms added since his signing, he’s facing an uphill battle just to stick on the roster. The tools are still there, but at this point, it’s hard to see him becoming a meaningful contributor.

4. Nick Allen, INF (Utility)

In a cost-cutting move, Houston swapped Mauricio Dubón for Nick Allen in a deal with Atlanta. Both are glove-first utility infielders, but Allen’s bat lags far behind even Dubón’s modest offensive output.

Defensively, Allen can hold his own-he’ll be fine as a late-inning replacement or emergency fill-in. But unless injuries pile up, his role figures to be limited. He’s valuable in a depth sense, but don’t expect him to tilt the playoff scales.

3. Ryan Weiss, RHP (Starter)

Weiss is one of the more intriguing wild cards in this group. After a strong season in the KBO where he posted a 2.87 ERA, the Astros brought him in on a $2.6 million deal-nearly double what they gave Pearson. That suggests a higher level of belief in his upside.

Scouts liked what they saw from Weiss in the KBO playoffs, particularly his live arm and ability to miss bats out of the bullpen. He’ll get a shot to start, but if that doesn’t work out, he could still be a valuable piece in relief. He’s not a sure thing, but there’s a path here to relevance.

2. Mike Burrows, RHP (Starter)

Burrows is the swing piece in Houston’s rotation puzzle. At 26, he’s still more promise than polish, with just under 100 big-league innings to his name. But the Astros need someone to step up behind their ace, and Burrows might be the best bet.

The rotation is filled with question marks-Lance McCullers Jr.’s health, Cristian Javier’s post-Tommy John form, and the fates of guys like Pearson and Weiss. If Burrows can stabilize things and emerge as a legitimate No. 2 or No. 3, it would go a long way toward keeping the Astros in the playoff hunt. He doesn’t need to be an All-Star-he just needs to be steady.

1. Tatsuya Imai, RHP (Starter)

This is the big one. Tatsuya Imai is the Astros’ swing-for-the-fences move.

The Japanese right-hander brings electric stuff-his fastball touches the upper 90s-and a fair amount of mystery. Once expected to command a $150 million deal, he ended up signing for a fraction of that, raising questions about how his game will translate to the majors.

Make no mistake: Imai’s performance will likely determine the ceiling of this Astros team. If he clicks, Houston suddenly has a legitimate front-of-the-rotation arm to pair with Framber Valdez. If he struggles, the rotation could unravel quickly.

The good news? With Burrows in the mix, Imai won’t have to carry the entire load right away. But make no mistake-his success (or lack thereof) will be the single biggest factor in whether Houston can claw its way back into October.

Final Word

The Astros may not have made the loudest moves this offseason, but they’ve taken some calculated swings in hopes of extending their competitive window. It’s a bet on upside-on bounce-backs, breakouts, and international imports. With the core aging and the margin for error shrinking, these moves don’t just need to work-they need to hit big.

And if Imai or Burrows can anchor the rotation, and if even one of the bullpen fliers pans out, Houston just might have enough left in the tank to make another run.