With the Kansas City Chiefs no longer in the playoff picture, attention has shifted to the offseason and the future of the team’s coaching staff. A major question looming over the organization is whether Andy Reid will continue to lead the Chiefs in 2026 and beyond. While Reid joked last month that he planned to return “if they’ll have me,” a more pressing concern is the future of the Chiefs’ two coordinators: Defensive Coordinator Steve Spagnuolo and Offensive Coordinator Matt Nagy.

Steve Spagnuolo and Matt Nagy: Are Changes on the Horizon?

Spagnuolo’s name is once again being floated for potential head coaching positions, but it’s Matt Nagy—who has faced much more scrutiny in recent years—who is drawing the most attention. Despite the Chiefs’ offense showing a sharp decline in 2025, Nagy has been mentioned by multiple NFL insiders and media outlets as a candidate for a head coaching role.

Nagy, who has already lined up interviews with the Arizona Cardinals, Tennessee Titans, and Las Vegas Raiders, is currently seen as the betting favorite to become the next Tennessee Titans head coach. But while his future might be bright in some circles, his tenure with the Chiefs hasn’t exactly been a glowing success, and the organization’s patience is beginning to wear thin.

Matt Nagy’s Departure Seems Likely for 2026

In an appearance on 96.5 The Fan, Nate Taylor of The Athletic stated that he believes Nagy will not return to the Chiefs in 2026. Taylor’s remarks came after Nagy’s contract was set to expire at the end of this season, making him a free agent. Taylor was adamant that, “Something would have to go very wild for Matt Nagy to come back.”

Adding fuel to the speculation, Taylor mentioned that Andy Reid has been supportive of Nagy pursuing another opportunity to be a head coach in the NFL. This suggests that Reid, the three-time Super Bowl-winning head coach, would give his blessing if Nagy were to sign with another team. While Reid’s comments could simply reflect his respect for Nagy’s career, they also hint that the Chiefs may be ready to part ways with their offensive coordinator.

A Decline in Chiefs’ Offensive Production: The Stats Don’t Lie

While Reid has been backing Nagy’s head coaching prospects, the statistical evidence paints a more concerning picture of Nagy’s impact on the Chiefs’ offense. Since Nagy took over as offensive coordinator in 2023, the team’s offensive production has significantly dropped.

According to Adam Levitan of Establish The Run, the Chiefs’ yards per play ranking in the Patrick Mahomes era has plummeted since Nagy’s arrival:

• 2018: 1st

• 2019: 2nd

• 2020: 2nd

• 2021: 1st

• 2022: 1st

• 2023: 9th

• 2024: 22nd

• 2025: 23rd

The Chiefs, once known for their explosive offense under Mahomes, have seen their yardage and efficiency steadily decline in the past two years. In 2025, the team finished 20th in total offense and 25th in rushing offense under Nagy’s guidance. These rankings are far from what the Chiefs and their fans have come to expect, and with the offense struggling, it seems like the team may be in need of a change.

Nagy’s Past Success and Failures: What Went Wrong?

Despite these struggles, Nagy does have a history of success—most notably in his first season as head coach of the Chicago Bears. In 2018, Nagy led the Bears to a 12-4 record, winning the NFC North and earning Coach of the Year honors. That season remains the Bears’ best performance since the Ben Johnson-led team in 2025, which only further underscores the stark contrast to Nagy’s more recent struggles with the Chiefs.

However, Nagy’s time with the Bears was marred by inconsistency and an inability to develop quarterback Mitchell Trubisky into a reliable leader, leading to his eventual firing. Now, with his second stint as offensive coordinator in Kansas City, he’s facing similar criticism for a decline in production, despite the Chiefs’ considerable talent on offense.

Is It Time for a Change in Kansas City?

With the Chiefs now focusing on the offseason, it seems increasingly likely that Matt Nagy will be on his way out of Kansas City. Although his resume includes some positive moments, particularly in his early years with the Bears, the 2025 season was a step backward for the Chiefs’ offense. The decline in production is simply too significant for the team to ignore, and they may decide to move in a new direction.

As the team explores options for both a new offensive coordinator and potentially other coaching staff changes, it will be critical for the Chiefs to address their offensive woes if they hope to return to Super Bowl contention in the coming years. For Nagy, the road ahead may lead to another opportunity as a head coach, but it seems his time in Kansas City is nearing an end.

For the Kansas City Chiefs, the next few months will be pivotal in determining the future of their coaching staff and, ultimately, the trajectory of their franchise. Whether they keep Nagy on or bring in a new face to revamp the offense, the pressure is on to restore the high-powered attack that has become synonymous with Mahomes and the Chiefs’ success.