Kalshi rates Kansas City Chiefs chances to make NFL playoffs after Colts win

The Kansas City Chiefs’ chances of making the NFL playoffs shifted after their overtime victory against the Indianapolis Colts, according to prediction market platform Kalshi

The Kansas City Chiefs’ dramatic overtime win against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 12 gave a significant boost to their chances of making the NFL playoffs.

Although the Chiefs currently sit as the No. 10 seed in the AFC playoff picture, Kansas City has a 70 percent chance of reaching the playoffs, according to Kalshi.

Kalshi is a prediction market platform whose percentages reflect the collective beliefs of traders about the probability of a given event. In this case, traders expect the Chiefs to finish among the top seven seeds in the AFC and avoid missing the postseason for the first time in Patrick Mahomes’ career.

READ MORE: Ja’Marr Chase breaks silence after spitting suspension amid ‘tough’ Bengals seasonREAD MORE: How Rashee Rice, Josh Jacobs, Tee Higgins injuries impact fantasy football for Thanksgiving games

The day before Sunday’s win against the Colts, Kansas City was given as low as a 55 percent chance to reach the postseason.

After starting 0-2, they were at 39 percent, the low point of the season prior to the lead-up to Week 12.

The Chiefs’ percentage is greater than that of the Houston Texans (38 percent), Pittsburgh Steelers (24 percent), Jacksonville Jaguars (69 percent), and Los Angeles Chargers (50 percent), all of whom are ahead of Kansas City in the current AFC playoff picture.

Andy Reid’s team avoided dropping to 5-6 by coming back from a 20-9 deficit in the fourth quarter against Indianapolis, who dropped to 8-3 with the defeat.

The Chiefs held the Colts to four straight three-and-out possessions in the fourth quarter and overtime, while using a Kareem Hunt rushing touchdown, two-point conversion, and two Harrison Butker field goals to erase the 11-point deficit.

The victory marked the first of the season in a one-score game for the Chiefs, an area they thrived in last season when they jumped out to a 9-0 record despite not playing their best football. Prior to Sunday, they were 0-5 in one-score games this season.

Kansas City still faces a difficult schedule ahead, including three teams ahead of them in the AFC playoff picture, and has little room for error.

READ MORE: Shedeur Sanders completes full redemption arc as Browns make Dillon Gabriel changeREAD MORE: Fantasy Football waiver wire adds to consider for NFL Week 13, including Titans, Saints rookies

First, Mahomes, Travis Kelce and company travel to Dallas, who just defeated the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles, on Thanksgiving Day.

After back-to-back home games against the Texans and Chargers, the Chiefs visit the Titans, host the Broncos, and round out the regular season on the road in Las Vegas.

This information is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and should not be relied upon for financial reasons or to determine a specific course of action. Information should not be used in violation of any law or regulation. Use this information responsibly and at your own risk.

Gambling problem? Click here or call 1-800-522-4700 for help from the National Problem Gambling Helpline.

Related Posts

🚨 REPORT PACKERS TARGET “ROB GRONKOWSKI 2.0” MICHAEL TRIGG AT NO. 52 — A BOLD MOVE TO ELEVATE JORDAN LOVE’S OFFENSE, insiders say this potential pick could transform Green Bay’s attack and give Love a new weapon to work with, the stakes are high as the Packers aim to reshape their future with a playmaking tight end 👇👇👇

Green Bay, Wisconsin — The Green Bay Packers may be preparing to make one of the most exciting offensive moves of the 2026 NFL Draft, as momentum…

🚨 BREAKING: After learning he’s being traded to the Steelers, a Ravens defensive star reportedly reacted immediately by threatening retirement and making one thing crystal clear: “I’m not wearing gold.” What should have been a routine move has now turned into an emotional flashpoint, with pride, rivalry, and loyalty suddenly taking center stage. This isn’t just a trade… it’s an internal struggle that could redefine the future of this star.👇👇

OWINGS MILLS, MD — The “Charm City” is iп a state of total disbelief this morпiпg. Followiпg a 2025 seasoп where the Baltimore Raveпs’ defeпse showed flashes…

🚨 BOMBSHELL CHIEFS’ $158 MILLION DEFENSIVE NIGHTMARE SHOCKS NFL BY REJECTING BIGGER OFFERS FROM RAVENS AND 49ERS, CHOOSING LOYALTY TO KANSAS CITY AMID CAP CRUNCH, insiders reveal this stunning decision could define the Chiefs’ defense for years to come, with the team’s salary cap troubles only adding more drama to the already intense situation 👇👇👇

Chiefs’ $158 Million Defensive Nightmare Shocks NFL by Rejecting Bigger Offers From Ravens and 49ers, Chooses Loyalty to Kansas City Amid Cap Crunch Kansas City, MO – As…

🚨 BREAKING: Just 12 hours after NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell suddenly called an emergency meeting with the 32 team owners regarding Governor Jeff Landry’s proposal, Saints owner Gayle Benson surprisingly accelerated the ownership transfer process — the real reason behind that action earns forgiveness from the Saints community! A move that has shocked the entire NFL, as Gayle Benson seemingly did the unthinkable to secure the team’s future. This isn’t just a business decision… it’s a restoration of trust and a commitment to the fans.👇👇

New Orleans, Louisiana – In a stunning development, Gayle Benson moved quickly to accelerate the ownership transfer process just 12 hours after NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell called an emergency meeting with…

🚨 BREAKING NEWS: After A.J. Brown became one of the hottest names on the transfer market, the elite star made a shocking statement — he is willing to turn down massive offers from rival programs just to stay with the Philadelphia Eagles. But what head coach Nick Sirianni said to him next… left the entire A.J. Brown community completely stunned. A response that not only reaffirmed loyalty but also opened up a promising new chapter for both the team and the superstar.👇👇

Rumors had been swirling across the league for weeks as several teams reportedly prepared massive offers to lure the star receiver away from Philadelphia. Executives around the National…

🚨 BREAKING: Ex-Steelers fan favorite linebacker wants back in Pittsburgh with a $3M deal — a surprising move that has fans excited! After time away, he’s eager to return and make an impact for his former team, boosting their defense. This isn’t just an offer… it’s an emotional reunion of a legend in the hearts of Steelers fans. 👏👇

Pittsburgh, PA – The Pittsburgh Steelers could be staring at an emotional reunion opportunity as one of their most respected former defenders signals a strong desire to return…