“It’s A Reputation Pick”: Skip Bayless Is Not Convinced About The Chiefs’ Super Bowl Odds

Skip Bayless raised eyebrows this week by questioning whether the Kansas City Chiefs deserve their standing as Super Bowl favourites, arguing that reputation may be driving the odds more than current play. His comments follow a stretch in which Kansas City has rebounded from an 0-2 start to win five of six, but remain 5-3 overall.

Bayless pointed to the paradox of generous title odds for a team with that record, reminding viewers of recent failures in high‑leverage moments and urging skepticism about automatic favourites. The Chiefs sit near the top of betting boards, with sportsbooks listing them among the most likely teams to win Super Bowl LX, yet critics note that oddsmakers often price in pedigree as well as present form.

"It's A Reputation Pick": Skip Bayless Is Not Convinced About The Chiefs' Super Bowl Odds
Oct 19, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) during warmups prior to a game against the Las Vegas Raiders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

Supporters counter that Kansas City’s late‑season surge and the return of key pieces make the club a legitimate threat. Analysts highlight the offense’s potency when fully healthy and a defense that has shown signs of life, and some former rivals and commentators have publicly endorsed Kansas City’s credentials as a top contender. Betting markets and computer models have therefore moved to reflect that mix of talent, track record and momentum.

Sceptics like Bayless argue the market can overvalue legacy, turning recent postseason success into a reflexive price premium. Historical examples exist of highly favoured teams faltering late, and the argument is that a durable title case should rest on consistent, demonstrable superiority rather than name recognition alone. That line of thinking influences both public commentary and some bettors who seek value elsewhere.

Skip Bayless Reveals Reason Why He Doesn’t Believe Kansas City Chiefs Are Super Bowl Favorites

"It's A Reputation Pick": Skip Bayless Is Not Convinced About The Chiefs' Super Bowl Odds
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) gets the crowd hyped before an NFL football matchup at EverBank Stadium, Monday, Oct. 6, 2025, in Jacksonville, Fla. The Jacksonville Jaguars edged the Kansas City Chiefs 31-28. [Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union]

Bayless recently disagreed with oddsmakers picking Kansas City as the favorites to make the Super Bowl this season. This can be seen in a video shared by The Arena: Gridiron on X.

.@RealSkipBayless is not convinced that the Chiefs should be runaway Super Bowl favorites pic.twitter.com/plWaUXExy8

— The Arena: Gridiron (@ArenaGridiron) October 28, 2025

“In all my time of doing this, I can’t remember eight games in a strong Super Bowl favorite with oddsmakers who is 5-3,” Bayless said. “But you nailed it because you said “They the Chiefs.” That’s the attitude of the world is that They the Chiefs.”

“It’s a reputation pick right now that they’re running away with the odds. It’s like, well they’re alwats in the chip so we just give it to them. And I’m saying well I don’t know if I can just give it to them because the last time I saw them in the Super Bowl with three minutes to go, they were down 40-6. That wasn’t that long ago and I don’t how that happened but it happened.”

Oddsmakers and power rankings differ at times, with outlets and books weighing injuries, schedule and analytics differently. The Chiefs’ upcoming slate, including matchups against other contenders, will provide a clearer picture of whether current lines are justified or inflated by reputation.

"It's A Reputation Pick": Skip Bayless Is Not Convinced About The Chiefs' Super Bowl Odds
Oct 12, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) rushes the ball against the Detroit Lions during the first half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

As the season heads into November, the debate over Kansas City underlines a larger question about how much weight to give pedigree in a parity‑driven league. For now, oddsmakers favour the Chiefs, but critics like Bayless are urging caution.

"It's A Reputation Pick": Skip Bayless Is Not Convinced About The Chiefs' Super Bowl Odds
Oct 6, 2025; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) throws during the first half against the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

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