It feels weird to have this much optimism around a team that’s just 2-2-1, but that’s where we are with the Cowboys. Their offense is cooking, the defense showed signs of life last week, and the team is favored in a road game with the Panthers this week.

Things may be trending in the Cowboys’ favor as of late, but it hasn’t all been sunshine and rainbows. Let’s take a look at their penalty numbers before getting into the officiating assignment for this week’s game.

The Cowboys have now gone consecutive weeks with 11 penalties, and it’s their third time in four games with double-digit penalties. After sitting outside the top 10 in penalties for the year, they’ve now leapt into a tie for the fifth-most flags; more concerning, they’re fourth in total penalty yardage.

Special teams continues to be an issue here, too. The offense is 19th in penalties, the defense is 16th in penalties, but special teams is second in the league in flags drawn. Coincidentally, the Titans – led by John “Bones” Fassel – is the one unit more penalized than Dallas.

As for the Panthers, they’re one of the more disciplined teams in the NFL, currently drawing the fifth-fewest penalties. They have yet to draw double-digit flags in a game and have just one game with more than 60 penalty yards. Odds seem good those streaks continue with this week’s officiating crew.

John Hussey is one of the longest-tenured officials in football, having joined the NFL all the way back in 2002 as a line judge. He became a head referee in 2015 and is now in the midst of his 11th season leading his own crew. That gives him a pretty sizable career of how Hussey calls games, over which he’s developed a reputation for helping the home team.

Last year marked the first time since 2017 that Hussey’s crew did not finish the year with more penalties called on the visitor, though it was narrow, with just six more flags on the home team. Prior to that, his crew usually finished with considerably more flags thrown on the road team; so far this year, he’s called seven more penalties on the home team.

It’s possible that Hussey is changing his tendencies, though that’s usually uncommon for referees as tenured as he. A breakdown of Hussey’s games this year offers a reasonable explanation for the discrepancy: he officiated a Titans game in Tennessee in Week 2 that saw the Titans – and that horribly undisciplined special teams unit we mentioned before – flagged six more times than their visiting opponent. That game sticks out as a real statistical anomaly.

One thing that has been materially different this year, though, is the on-field impact of Hussey’s calls. Known to be a boon for the home team’s winning chances, Hussey has seen the home team go 107-56 under his watch before the start of this season.

However, the home team is 2-2 so far this year, with several surprises. In Week 1, the Bills staged an epic comeback over the Ravens; backup Mac Jones led the 49ers to a win over the Cardinals; and the Commanders just upset the Chargers. Not only that, but the home team is 1-3 against the spread with Hussey on the call this year, which seems to suggest home teams aren’t getting the usual boost they have in the past.

That’s a comforting trend for the Cowboys, but the fact remains that the Panthers don’t draw the flag too much. The Cowboys offense leads the league in first downs gained by penalty, but Carolina is giving up the fewest first downs by penalty, just two. In the same vein, the Panthers are tied for sixth in gaining first downs that way.

The Panthers are a very disciplined team so far this year, and the Cowboys haven’t been one in recent weeks. Hussey may no longer be the harbinger of doom for visitors, but his presence and extensive track record is anything but a positive for the Cowboys.